The New York Mets host the Minnesota Twins on April 21, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Mets are favored by -171 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +144 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Mets Prediction
- Twins vs Mets Pick: New York Mets ML | Nolan McLean Over 6.5 Strikeouts
My Twins vs Mets best bets are the Mets to win and Nolan McLean to go over his strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Mets Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -156 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +144 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -175 |
- Twins vs Mets moneyline: Twins +144, Mets -171
- Twins vs Mets over/under: 7.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Twins vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+129 ), Twins +1.5 (-155)
Twins vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP) | Stat | Nolan McLean (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 6.10/4.68 | ERA / xERA | 2.28/2.02 |
| 5.60/5.14 | FIP / xFIP | 2.46/2.89 |
| 1.60 | WHIP | 0.76 |
| 4.3 | K-BB% | 22.5 |
| 37 | GB% | 48.1 |
| 87 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 94 | Location+ | 104 |
Twins vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
The New York Mets have lost 11 straight games, and their fans are melting down. Tonight, they get a prime opportunity to snap that streak.
The Mets send their ace, Nolan McLean, to the mound against the Minnesota Twins and Simeon Woods Richardson. McLean has been outstanding this season and should be treated as one of the 10 best pitchers in baseball right now. He’s a legitimate Cy Young contender. The fact that the Mets are just 1-3 in his four starts this year says far more about the team’s struggles than it does about McLean.
This is a significant pitching mismatch. Woods Richardson is a former Mets prospect who has been solidly below average this season. While he can occasionally put together a decent start, he’s not on the same level as McLean.
I’m backing the Mets on the moneyline at -184 on FanDuel. They’re at home to start a series against a Twins team that they’re significantly better than on paper. Minnesota has lost four straight after a strong 11-7 start, and its bullpen imploded over the weekend. They’re scuffling at the right time for New York to break through.
I’m also on Nolan McLean Over 6.5 Strikeouts at +100. McLean has cleared this number in three of his four starts already. The Twins strike out at the 13th-highest rate in baseball, and McLean’s stuff is electric. You can also get a nice plus price around +150 if you want to include it in a small same-game parlay with the Mets ML.
The Mets have to win sometime, and tonight looks like the spot with their ace on the mound at home.
Pick: New York Mets ML | Nolan McLean Over 6.5 Strikeouts
