The San Diego Padres host the Washington Nationals on September 9, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Padres are favored by -183 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +150 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Padres Prediction
- Nationals vs Padres Pick: TK PICK + THRESHOLD TK
My Nationals vs Padres best bet is TK PICK TK. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Padres Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -144 | 8 -116o / -103u | +150 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +119 | 8 -116o / -103u | -183 |
- Nationals vs Padres moneyline: Nationals +150, Padres -183
- Nationals vs Padres over/under: 8 (-116o / -103u)
- Nationals vs Padres spread: Padres -1.5 (+119), Nationals +1.5 (-144)
Nationals vs Padres Probable Pitchers
| Jackson Kent (LHP, WSN) | Stat | Walker Buehler (RHP, SDP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | W-L | 8-6 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.5 |
| 5.55/5.19 | ERA / xERA | 4.56/4.15 |
| 4.25/5.01 | FIP / xFIP | 4.33/4.16 |
| 1.8% | K-BB% | 11.5% |
| 51.4% | GB% | 47.6% |
| .296 | BABIP | .296 |
| 87 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 94 | Location+ | 100 |
Nationals vs Padres MLB Betting Preview, Expert Prediction
The Padres will host the Nationals on Wednesday afternoon in the last of a three-game homestand at Petco Park in San Diego. Walker Buehler will take the mound for the Friars, while Jackson Kent will take the mound for the Nats.
Kent, a young lefty, has mostly struggled across five starts this season (24 IP, 5.55 ERA, 1.68 WHIP), and I think the Padres will tee off against him in this matchup.
Specifically, I think Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a big day.
Tatis has been white-hot, running a 151 wRC+ since the start of August. He’s also got a 160 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season — and that includes his rough early-season slump.
Kent relies a bit too heavily on his swing-and-miss stuff, and he has serious control issues (19 walks across his first five starts). That’s a problem against Tatis, who is a rather disciplined hitter.
I think Tatis has a massive day at the plate on Wednesday.
Picks: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 HRR (-173) | Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 TB (-102)
