Charles Radtke vs. Daniel Frunza Odds
| Radtke Odds | -155 |
| Frunza Odds | +130 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-140/+110) |
| Location | UFC Apex, Las Vegas |
| Bout Time | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC Vegas 110 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC Vegas 110 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Charles Radtke vs. Daniel Frunza prediction for UFC Vegas 110on Saturday, November 1, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
On a fight night card that leaves a little bit to be desired, Charles Radtke and Daniel Frunza are highly likely to deliver in terms of entertainment. Both men are returning to the octagon after suffering knockout losses in their most recent appearance, and both possess the skills to end this fight inside the distance at a fairly high clip; hence why this bout’s over/under is lined near a pick em’ at 1.5 rounds.
Here's my Radtke vs. Frunza pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Radtke | Frunza | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-5 | 9-3 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 6:10 | 6:45 |
| Height | 5'9" | 6'1" |
| Weight (pounds) | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 72" | 73" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 7/9/1990 | 4/13/1994 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.11 | 6.30 |
| SS Accuracy | 49% | 40% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.66 | 6.67 |
| SS Defense | 52% | 56% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.49 | 0 |
| TD Acc | 12% | 0% |
| TD Def | 100% | 60% |
| Submission Avg | 0 | 0 |
Oddsmakers are presenting extremely rare pricing in terms of method of victory in this fight. Radtke and Frunza are priced identically in their odds to win by KO/TKO and within 50 cents of each other to win by submission. Radtke has the slight edge in oddsmakers’ eyes to win this fight by decision, likely due to the perception that he could choose to wrestle if needed and that he would hold a grappling advantage if this fight hits the mat.
However, I do not expect either man to be interested in contesting this bout on the ground.
Frunza likes to move forward and pressure his opponent, landing more than six significant strikes per minute, doubling the output of Radtke’s offensive numbers. It will be interesting to see if Frunza will adjust his strategy coming off his first career knockout loss.
Frunza’s game plan was deterred by veteran Rhys McKee in his main roster debut as he was dropped three times and couldn’t recover from the damaging shots he was absorbing in the first frame of the fight. Prior to getting knocked down, Frunza did land 9 of 10 leg kicks, which is a big part of his game, and in total, he attempted 117 significant strikes in the first round.
I have my doubts Frunza can stay out of harm's way if he continues to press forward in the same manner. Radtke has more power than McKee, as McKee is more known for attritional damage he can cause his opponent.
Radtke may not match the volume of his opponent often, but the lack of defensive responsibility from Frunza will present the openings he needs to eventually land heavy damage.
Frunza has the height advantage over Radtke, but won’t enjoy much of a reach advantage. Regardless, his tendency to keep his hands low and move forward with reckless abandon would negate any type of distance management angle he could look to exploit.
Radtke’s durability may be a cause for concern as well moving forward in his career, but Frunza is nowhere near the level of a fighter of Carlos Prates or Mike Malott – the two fighters who have finished Radtke in the UFC.
Radtke holds the technical edge here and has displayed that he can take a measured approach in implementing what is a boxing-centric fighting style. He is the more crisp striker in my estimation, with his left hook being his most powerful weapon, as was showcased in his knockout win over Matthew Semelsberger, who had only one knockout loss on his record in his previous thirteen fights before facing the powerful Radtke.
Charles Radtke vs. Daniel Frunza Pick, Prediction
If Frunza insists on continuing his strategy centering around forward pressure and volume, he will find himself exchanging with Radtke inside of the pocket at some point. Radtke is more seasoned, the more accurate of the two and has the heavier hands.
Frunza has some unpredictability to his game, which does create volatility surrounding this fight, but this line feels too short in my estimation, given that Frunza is completely unproven against UFC-level competition. I would play the favorite Radtke up to -185 on Saturday.
John's Pick: Radtke -170 (FanDuel)
