Check out the Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Andre Muniz prediction for UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Andre Muniz Odds
| Shahbazyan Odds | -300 |
| Muniz Odds | +240 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (+100 / -140) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas |
| Bout Time | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 320 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 320 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Shahbazyan vs. Muniz pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Shahbazyan | Muniz | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15-5-0 | 24-7-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 7:36 | 9:09 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'1" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 75" | 78" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 11/20/1997 | 2/17/1990 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.74 | 2.04 |
| SS Accuracy | 48% | 49% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.62 | 2.33 |
| SS Defense | 48% | 51% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.69 | 4.02 |
| TD Acc | 37% | 49% |
| TD Def | 66% | 35% |
| Submission Avg | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Shahbazyan vs. Muniz Pick, Prediction
Edmen Shahbazyan has shown a tendency to fade – after a fast start – throughout his MMA career, so it was encouraging to see him secure a decision last out in the UFC, against Andre Petroski.
At age 27, Shahbazyan is an explosive athlete still in his physical prime, and he should have a significant speed and technical striking advantage over third-degree jiu-jitsu black belt Andre Muniz.
In fact, it's difficult to see where Muniz – who also slows as his fights extend – finds the ability to win minutes against Shahbazyan without finishing; aside from completing a back take and holding position for the duration of the round.
Muniz, at 35 years old, doesn't have the striking ability to stay competitive with Shahbazyan on the feet, nor the durability to survive extensive damage.
As a result, while I project value on Shahbazyan to win by decision (projected +455, listed +650), if im placing any bet on this matchup I'd likely prefer an SGP with Shahbazyan and the Over 1.5 (+200); as even his pointspread (-7.5, -245) is juiced too closely toward his moneyline.
Still, while Shahbazyan showed his composure against Petroski, this binary matchup is tailor-made for a highlight reel finish, against an elder jiu-jitsu practitioner who sustained a TKO loss to Ikram Aliskerov in March.
Shahbazyan KO1 (+180) seems like an extremely likely outcome, and I'm happy to pass on anything related to this fight extending.
Projection: Edmen Shahbazyan (75.1%)
Sean's Pick:
- Pass
