Check out the Edson Barboza vs. Drakkar Klose prediction for UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Edson Barboza vs. Drakkar Klose Odds
| Barboza Odds | +125 |
| Klose Odds | -150 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-225/+16o) |
| Location | United Center, Chicago |
| Bout Time | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 319 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 319 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Here's my Barboza vs. Klose pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Barboza | Klose | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 24-12-0 | 15-3-1 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 12:12 | 11:20 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'9" |
| Weight (pounds) | 155 lbs. | 155 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 75" | 70" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 1/21/1986 | 3/9/1988 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.11 | 4.33 |
| SS Accuracy | 44% | 55% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 4.65 | 3.54 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 50% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.45 | 1.65 |
| TD Acc | 50% | 27% |
| TD Def | 72% | 69% |
| Submission Avg | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Barboza vs. Klose Pick, Prediction
As a fan of Edson Barboza, I'm trying to take extra care to analyze his fights objectively, as he nears age 40.
Edson isn't as explosive offensively, or wearing damage as well as he used to defensively. And he's dropping down from consecutive main events to an early prelim spot, following a one-sided loss to Lerone Murphy (out-struck 205-77 at distance and taken down four times).
Still, Barboza is the bigger man (2" taller, 5" reach advantage) and the more diverse striker than Drakkar Klose, whose chin is equally, if not more, compromised than Edson's.
Klose excels when he can counter-grapple and pressure box opponents, and thus, he may struggle to get inside the range of Barboza's kicks, but I'd expect him to prove the quicker athlete in the cage and to offer superior cardio in the second half of the fight.
Either way, I don't project any actionable betting edge on this fight — in the side, total, or prop market — and I don't think the cardio discrepancy is enough that it demands a live bet on Klose.
The closest thing I could recommend to an actionable wager is Klose by decision (projected +238, listed +250), but there's not enough meat on the bone for me.
Projection: Barboza (53%)
Sean's Pick: Pass
