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Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Prediction, Picks, Odds for UFC 333 (Saturday, October 24)

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Prediction, Picks, Odds for UFC 333 (Saturday, October 24) article feature image
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Mar 8, 2025; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Iasmin Lucindo (blue gloves) prepares to fight Amanda Lemos (not pictured) during UFC 313 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari

Lucindo Odds-410
Caliari Odds+320
Over/Under2.5 (-298/+220)
LocationEtihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, UAE
Bout Time10:15 a.m. ET
TV/StreamingParamount+
UFC 333 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 333 with our DraftKings promo code.

Check out the Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari prediction for UFC 333 on Saturday, October 24, along with my betting preview and breakdown.

Here's my Lucindo vs. Caliari pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

LucindoCaliari
Record18-69-4
Avg. Fight Time14:0611:06
Height5'3"5'3"
Weight (pounds)115 lbs.115 lbs.
Reach (inches)66"62"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth1/8/200211/4/1996
Sig Strikes Per Min3.222.88
SS Accuracy45%39%
SS Absorbed Per Min2.805.59
SS Defense62%52%
Take Down Avg2.283.38
TD Acc55%29%
TD Def68%50%
Submission Avg0.11.0

Lucindo vs. Caliari Pick, Prediction

Nicole Caliari won her strawweight debut in her last outing against Shauna Bannon, following consecutive losses at Flyweight. Still, I think Iasmin Lucindo is the superior grappler in this matchup, and she also has a four-inch reach advantage at distance.

Lucindo is still young (24), but she hasn't shown the best fight IQ to date, with limited finishing instincts and a tendency to fail to separate from opponents when she has clear advantages.

As a result, it's hard to lay the juice on her as a substantial favorite; this fight may play out closer than the line suggests, but Lucindo is the better athlete and has more room to progress after a near 15-month layoff.

And ultimately, I don't project edges on the side, total, or winning method props for this fight.

Zerillo's Picks: Pass 

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About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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