Check out the Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev prediction for UFC 333 on Saturday, October 24, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Krylov vs. Yakhyaev pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
Krylov
Yakhyaev
Record
31-12
10-0
Avg. Fight Time
7:09
1:01
Height
6'3"
6'2"
Weight (pounds)
205 lbs.
205 lbs.
Reach (inches)
77"
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
Date of birth
3/7/1992
1/3/2001
Sig Strikes Per Min
4.38
8.64
SS Accuracy
54%
68%
SS Absorbed Per Min
4.24
2.22
SS Defense
48%
59%
Take Down Avg
2.19
11.11
TD Acc
38%
75%
TD Def
53%
100%
Submission Avg
1.1
7.4
Krylov vs. Yakhyaev Pick, Prediction
Abdul Yakhyaev keeps finishing his opposition in Round 1, and he slowed in his lone extended fight; a five-round decision win in 2023. It's hard to tell whether he'll keep fading in longer fights, or whether he's strengthened that part of his skillset.
Yakhyaev is nine years younger than his opponent, Nikita Krylov, who has been knocked out in three of his past four appearances.
If Krylov survives Round 1, I'd be interested in firing a live bet on the underdog, at odds hopefully double his pre-fight price.
Still, this spot seems like another potential highlight-reel opportunity for "The Hunter," and I don't mind his odds to win by TKO/KO (projected -130, listed -120) or Round 1 KO/TKO (+175), while awaiting the live entry on Krylov.
Zerillo's Picks:
Abdul Yakhyaev wins by KO/TKO in Round 1 (+175, 0.1u), Ballybet; bet to +150
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About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.
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