The Formula 1 US Grand Prix is officially in the rear-view mirror, and once again, Max Verstappen reminded everyone why he’s a four-time world champion. He swept both the Sprint and the feature race in Austin, banking 33 crucial points and tightening the gap to McLaren’s Papaya duo.
Now the Formula 1 Drivers' Championship standings are as follows:
- Oscar Piastri — 346 pts
- Lando Norris — 332 pts
- Max Verstappen — 306 pts
SuperMax’s push for a fifth consecutive world title is gaining real momentum — and Kalshi’s odds show it.
Let’s take a look at the newest Kalshi’s F1 Drivers Championship odds. And remember, you can use the promo code below to claim $10 when signing up as a new user.
Before the weekend, Kalshi had Oscar Piastri as the clear favorite for the Drivers’ Championship at 68%, followed by Lando Norris at 25%, with Verstappen lagging far behind at just 9.5%.
But Texas flipped the script. After McLaren’s dramatic double DNF in Turn 1 and Verstappen’s dominant sweep, the four-time champ rocketed up the odds board — now sitting as the second favorite with a 34% chance to clinch his fifth title.
Piastri remains narrowly ahead at 38%, though his stock took a major hit after being blamed for the Turn 1 crash with Nico Hülkenberg and teammate Lando Norris in Saturday’s Sprint.
Norris, meanwhile, saw only a slight dip. He slips one spot but still holds a 28% chance to claim the 2025 Drivers’ Championship.
As we enter the final stretch of the 2025 F1 season, the title race is wide open. Momentum is everything at this stage, and recent form plays a massive role when trading on Kalshi. Let’s take a closer look at how the three contenders have performed over the last five Grands Prix:
- Oscar Piastri – 1 win, 2 DNFs (including one in the US GP Sprint)
- Max Verstappen – 4 wins (including one in the US GP Sprint), 2 second-place finishes
- Lando Norris – 2 DNFs (including one in the US GP Sprint), 2 second-place finishes
At this point, it’s not just about speed — it’s about execution under pressure. And right now, Verstappen has both.
