Bucks vs. Pacers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2025

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Nembhard has gone over this in 3 of 4 games, but his underlying passing metrics suggest regression. His pass rate is down 0.15 per minute, and his potential assist rate has dropped 3% this series. He’s sharing more time with McConnell his pass mix suggests he should be an averaging closer to 3.6 which hints at a possible sell high spot. He’s also converting at an unsustainably high clip — 18 of 27 potential assists (67%), well above his team’s average. I project this closer to -140 and think it’s a good spot to sell high.

The Pacers are set to close out this series against the Bucks at home in Game 5 and I’m expecting another big game from Tyrese Haliburton. Hali has been awesome this series, particularly on the glass. He’s contributed 7, 5, 7, and 8 rebounds in these four games which is a significant departure from his 3.7 rpg average this season. He’s officially on (near) triple double watch now. As for the assists, he has sliced and diced this Milwaukee defense. He has double digit assists in each game this series, but he has seen his potentials climb to 19 and 21 over the last two. He has fully taken advantage of Bobby Portis trying to play at the level. I’ll grab the combo prop here, and sprinkle 10 Assists/7+ Rebounds (+575 MGM/365) and 10/10/10 (+2842 ESPN).

Dame been ass anyways

Tailing @JoeDellera

Kuzma has seen a drop in playing time (22.3 min per game) during this series against the Pacers. He’s averaging just 2.5 RA in the series and even when Damian Lillard left Game 4 early due to injury, Kuzma only played 16 minutes. He seems to be a liability on defense and with this being an elimination game, I envision he’ll have a quick hook if his shot isn’t falling or the Pacers pick on him defensively. Bucks seem to be cutting the playing time of Kuzma and Brook Lopez in favor of Bobby Portis, AJ Green, and even Jericho Sims. Kevin Porter Jr. should slide into the starting lineup but it just seems like Kuzma isn’t going to get the 30 minutes he averaged during the regular season with the season now on the line.

🙃