Heat vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2025

Tailing @PropBomb

#Tailing @PropBomb

Buying low here and love that he’s back at home. Mann is averaging 14.0 PPG against Miami and has scored 13+ in all three matchups. He wasn’t needed last game vs. Orlando due to a size mismatch—Gueye got the nod instead, and the Magic are elite at limiting spot-up looks. But Miami presents a much different scenario. From a matchup standpoint, if the Heat choose to trap or run zone on Trae Young, spot-up threats like Mann should see more volume. Plus, his ball-handling will be key in helping bring the ball up and easing pressure off Trae. He should be a safe bet for 15+ minutes tonight and be really needed if Atlanta wants a chance at winning. #PlayerProps

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

I project this closer to -140. He’s cleared in 4 of his last 5 but has run very hot.. converting 73% of his potential assists over that stretch (33 of 45), compared to just 51% on the season. His teammates have been on fire, but with ATL’s implied team total 13 points lower than that recent avg, that should help speed up the incoming regression. Based on his pass mix, I had him closer to 21.9 expected assists over the 5-game span (vs 33 actual). Last game? Just 3.7 expected..and he still landed 7. Trae should take over more tonight and tilt the potential assist share. Time to sell high.

10 seeds have never made the actual playoffs, and their 8 losses have been by an average of 15 pts and at least double digits all but one. The numbers are the numbers: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-play-in-tournament-betting-trends-stats-notes

Tailing @JoeDellera

CJ: “Here we go again.”

ATL hoe