Magic vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2025

With Tatum out, Brown gets a big bump as a playmaker — he’s averaged 6.8 assists per 36 with Tatum off the court compared to just 3.7 with him on. His potential assist rate spikes in those spots, and he’s more likely to be the one initiating offense and setting up shots. I’ve got him closer to -130 to clear this line, so love the value at plus money here.

Tatum doubtful. Magic can’t score – Game 1 had just 189 pts. Orlando relies on 2 scorers – rest of team had 27 pts. Celtics elite on D: 106.9 opp PPG, 45.0% opp FG%. Boston shut down role players. No Tatum = slower pace, more defense, fewer clean looks. Orlando’s O: 105.2 PPG (low), 44.5% FG%, worst 3P% in NBA (31.9%). Magic had 86 pts in Game 1 on 42% shooting. Banchero + Wagner carried – rest struggled. No consistent 3rd scorer. Boston’s set D too disciplined. Magic can’t run if they don’t control tempo. Playoffs = slow pace, tight D. Under hit 12 of last 15 vs Atlantic. Last reg season game: 96-76, only 172 pts. Celtics hold Magic under 90 again. Orlando 28-13-1 to Under in last 42 first-rounders.

Just not sure how Orlando is going to score in the series. G1 paolo great game, magic equal Boston threes in the first half, still only 86 points. 87 pace, 15 turnovers, only 3/9 3s in 2h, just not many paths to scoring. Last 6 magic Ls 94.7ppg, 92 or below x4. 93 or below in 43% of their season losses so this is a Boston proxy without the steep line. Won't play as aggressively with Tatum injury but let's hit the mineshaft on the way down just in case.

DOUBTFUL -SOON TO BE VOIDED - PIVOT TO HOLIDAY AST/REB INSTEAD.

Tailing @TurveyBets

Tatum out. 2 losses with him out were vs. ORL this season (one you can throw out bc nobody played)

Bet365