Stephen Curry. Photo credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports
The Warriors will have four days to get the bad taste of the Game 2 loss out of their mouths. Golden State can hit the reset button, and historically it has been profitable to bet well-rested (four or more days between games) home teams in the playoffs: They’re 95-58 (62%) against-the-spread since 2005.
I know what you’re thinking: Yeah, but the Rockets are well-rested, too. That hasn’t mattered: If the opponent has also not played for four or more days, the home team is still 75-45 (63%) ATS.