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Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, January 25

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, January 25 article feature image
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Imagn Images: Jaren Jackson Jr.

The Denver Nuggets (31-15) and Memphis Grizzlies (18-25) will face off in the NBA on Sunday afternoon. Tipoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. The game will broadcast live on ALT2.

The Grizzlies are 3-point favorites over the Nuggets on the spread (Grizzlies -3), with the over/under set at 224.5 total points. Memphis is a -155 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Denver is +130 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Nuggets vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, January 25.


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Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks

  • Nuggets vs Grizzlies pick: Grizzlies Moneyline (-155)

My Grizzlies vs. Nuggets best bet is on Memphis moneyline, with the best price currently available at DraftKings, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.


Nuggets vs Grizzlies Odds

Nuggets Logo
Sunday, Jan 25
3:30 p.m. ET
ALT2
Grizzlies Logo
Nuggets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3
-110
224.5
-112o / -108u
+130
Grizzlies Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3
-110
224.5
-112o / -108u
-155
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Nuggets vs Grizzlies NBA Preview

This NBA system identifies regular season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics, which appears to be the case for the Grizzlies entering Sunday's matchup against the Nuggets.

When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.

These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch. Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.


Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Betting Analysis

Over recent seasons, the aforementioned pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.

So, let's back the Grizzlies to win outright on the moneyline at -155.

Pick: Grizzlies Moneyline (-155)

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Undervalued vs. Bad Defense (SEASON)
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's average points allowed is between 110 and 1000
the opposing team's defensive efficiency is between 110 and 1000
the team's Pythagorean +/- is between 2% and 100%
the closing moneyline is between -205 and 131
the spread change from open to close is between -100 and -0.5
the game was played during the 2025-26 or 2024-25 or 2023-24 or 2022-23 or 2021-22 or 2020-21 season
$2,129
WON
315-220-0
RECORD
59%
WIN%
Playbook

Spread

I'm staying away from the spread in this game.

Moneyline

My Grizzlies vs. Nuggets betting prediction is on Memphis moneyline at -155.

Over/Under

No play on the total.


Grizzlies vs Nuggets Betting Trends

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