Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Friday: Will De’Aaron Fox Dish 8 Assists?
Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sacramento Kings point guard De’Aaron Fox (5)
- Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player props for Friday night.
- Props include Kings PG De'Aaron Fox's points, Hornets SF Nic Batum's assists and Wizards C Bobby Portis' rebounds.
The three NBA player props highlighted below are from the following two games:
- Sacramento Kings at Philadelphia 76ers: 7 p.m. ET
- Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards: 7 p.m. ET
As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 4:30 p.m. ET. View live odds here.
Kings PG De’Aaron Fox
THE PICK: Over 7 Assists (-108)
Fox is averaging 7.8 assists in 34.6 minutes per game since the All-Star break, so it’s probably the tough spot his team is in on the second night of a back-to-back that made oddsmaker post this line at an even 7 instead of 7.5.
Still, it’s too low for a player who has delivered at least eight assists in nine of his past 12 games and exactly seven in a 10th.
Sharp money is on the over, and the well-rested 76ers might look to push their seventh-ranked pace up a notch against a Kings squad that plays at the fastest pace in the league. (The game is also a match for the Bet Labs Pro Trend “Tickets vs. Money NBA Overs,” which historically has hit at a 55% clip.)
I wouldn’t worry if the over is juiced up at 7 because even counting earlier in the year when Fox was playing fewer minutes, the possibility of a push means he would have only lost an over 7 bet 41% of the time, but at over 7.5, I wouldn’t play this too far beyond standard juice.
Hornets SF Nicolas Batum
THE PICK: Over 3.5 Assists (-140)
Hornets coach James Borrego has increased Batum’s workload since the All-Star break, from 31.2 minutes per game pre-break to 38.8 post-break, which has naturally brought with it a rise in Batum’s assist output, from 3.5 to 4.2 per game.
The 11th-year wing has given out at least four helpers in 6-of-9 games since the break, and he’s also posted at least four in all three previous meetings with a Wizards, two of which have come fairly recently (March 8 and Feb. 22), so Batum should have no problem making it 4-for-4 against a defense allowing the third-highest per-game average in the league in that category (26.0).
Our props tool gives this a rating of 9 (out of 10) in Bet Quality, and props rated as such have produced a 59% win rate since the start of the season.
Wizards C Bobby Portis
THE PICK: Over 8.6 Rebounds (-114)
Anytime a pass from Batum or otherwise doesn’t end up in a made basket for the Hornets, Portis is the overwhelming favorite to come down with the rebound against a Hornets team allowing the sixth-most rebounds to centers o n the year and the most to the position since the All-Star break (per hoopstats.com).
The fourth-year big out of Arkansas is averaging 9.1 rebounds per game in 14 games as a Wizard and has grabbed at least nine in seven of his past 10 games. He’s also gone over 8.5 in both meetings with Charlotte since joining the Wizards, posting 12 in 31 minutes on Feb. 22 and nine in 25 minutes on March 8.
Given his increased output with his new team, this prop should have value up to -150.