Updated NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Ja Morant a Near Lock to Win Over Zion Williamson


Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Ja Morant (12) of the Memphis Grizzlies.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Ja Morant -10000
Zion Williamson +2000

Odds as of July 1 and via PointsBet, where you can get a $200 sign-up bonus AND your bets automatically sync to the Action app. Learn more about BetSync here.

The NBA Rookie of the Year race is now down to just two players — at least according to the betting market. And according to PointsBet, it’s not even a close two-man race anymore.

Grizzlies rookie Ja Morant is a -10000 favorite there, which is an implied probability of 99%. In their eyes, this thing is over even though the season isn’t and the Grizzlies and Pelicans will be fighting for the final playoff spot in the West upon the July 30 season restart in Orlando, Florida.

The question in this race is how much bias will be a factor for voters. Pelicans rookie Zion Williamson has played just 19 total games this year, whereas Morant has played 59. It’s hard to see a scenario in a normal year where the volume of stats and games played wouldn’t be an easy deciding factor.

But it’s not a normal year; by the time the season comes back, it will have been nearly five months since fans and voters have seen these players. What happens if Zion comes out hot and leads the Pelicans past the Grizzlies — they’re currently 3.5 games behind entering the final eight games — for the West’s 8-seed?

Will voters be swayed by recency bias and the celebrity of Zion? That’s definitely the question, although it seems the betting market currently isn’t buying that angle.

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