The Sacramento Kings (0-6) and Dallas Mavericks (4-2) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on NBCS-CA.
The Mavericks are 8.5-point favorites on the spread, with the over/under set at 232.5 total points. The Mavericks are -359 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Kings are listed as +286 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Kings vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Monday, November 2.
Kings vs Mavericks Prediction
- Kings vs Mavericks parlay: Cooper Flagg 25+ Points | Darius Acuff Jr. 25+ Points | Mavericks Moneyline (+495)
My Kings vs Mavericks best bet is a SGP backing Dallas to win outright and prop picks on Cooper Flagg and Darius Acuff. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Kings vs Mavericks Odds
- Kings vs Mavericks spread: Kings +8.5 (-102), Mavericks -8.5 (-118)
- Kings vs Mavericks over/under: 232.5 (-107o / -113u)
- Kings vs Mavericks moneyline: Kings +286, Mavericks -359
Kings vs Mavericks NBA Preview, Parlay Picks
Cooper Flagg 25+ Points
As you might expect from a No. 1 overall pick, Cooper Flagg kept improving as his rookie season went on. From December on, Flagg averaged 22.8 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 4.9 assists over his final 50 games. The improvement didn't stop there, as he began this season averaging 26.8 points, six rebounds, and 6.6 assists per game.
Flagg has scored 25 points in four of his first five games, including two 30-point games against the Rockets. He has had a 30.8% usage rate thus far and is shooting 55.7% from the field and 85.3% from the free-throw line. Flagg's improvement, along with Kyrie Irving's return, has the Mavericks 12th in offensive rating this season.
Flagg scored 23 and 20 points in two games against the Kings last season. The Kings are 29th in defensive rating this season, so he has plenty of chances to score 25-30 points again tonight.
Darius Acuff Jr. 25+ Points
After watching Darius Acuff Jr. a ton last season at Arkansas, I'm not surprised his offensive game has immediately translated to the next level. After a rough draft against the Clippers, Acuff has scored 30 points in three of his last five games. He is averaging 26.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game this season.
Some have knocked him for "chucking" as he has attempted 20 field goals in each of his first six games yet is shooting below 40% from the field. However, that kind of volume is music to props bettors' ears. Secondly, he is shooting 49% over his last two games, and that has translated to 34 points and 14 assists against the Pelicans and 38 points and five assists against the Grizzlies.
Acuff is playing 36 minutes a night and has a 33% usage rate this season. At that volume, he should be able to reach 25-30 points again tonight, especially with Zach LaVine questionable and potentially out.
Mavericks Moneyline
Finally, for extra value, I'll go with the Mavs moneyline in a +550 parlay tonight. The Mavericks are off to a 4-2 start (4-1 with Flagg), and that may be surprising to some. They already have wins over the Thunder and Rockets. However, even if they were winless entering tonight's game, I might still pick them tonight.
The Kings actually are still winless, and that is just the start of their troubles. They have lost all of their six games by at least eight points and five of them by double digits. They are 29th in offensive and defensive rating and last with a -17.8 net rating.
Meanwhile, under first-year head coach Dusty May, the Mavericks are playing like a legitimate playoff threat. They are 15th or better in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating (+2.9).
They may be without Irving tonight, as he is questionable, and this seems like a good spot to rest him. However, they will have the best player on the floor tonight in Flagg. I like the young star to lead his team to a win with a stellar night.
Kings vs Mavericks Same Game Parlay
Parlay Odds: +495
