Florida State vs UConn Odds & Prediction: Bet Seminoles to Win Super Regional

Florida State vs UConn Odds & Prediction: Bet Seminoles to Win Super Regional article feature image
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David Jensen/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Florida State’s Jaime Ferrer (left) and James Tibbs III. (right).

Florida State Seminoles vs UConn Huskies Odds

Florida State Seminoles Odds-330 (Series)
UConn Huskies Odds+255 (Series)

Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Super Regionals here.


Florida State is another ACC team that made quick work of its Regional. The Seminoles didn't need to break a sweat in three wins with a run differential of +16 against Stetson and UCF.

The highlight of the weekend didn't come from an offense that ranks top-15 in slugging, batting average and scoring but from the staff anchor throwing an immaculate inning.

If you've got 2.5 minutes…all 9 pitches in @_JamieArnold13 Immaculate second inning pic.twitter.com/WYSow0yicX

— FSU Baseball (@FSUBaseball) June 2, 2024

Jamie Arnold averages nearly six innings per outing, bringing a sub-2.5 ERA with an arsenal that produced 146 strikeouts.

Arnold is not alone from a production standpoint with the staff, as Carson Dorsey came up one out short of a complete game against Stetson.

If the Seminoles want to advance to Omaha for the 24th time in program history, a pesky regional 3-seed awaits in UConn.

The Huskies are still surprising in June despite this being their sixth consecutive trip to the postseason. UConn previously won three Regionals with the latest coming in 2022, but it hasn't made a trip to Omaha since 1979.

With the focus on Duke and Oklahoma in the Norman Regional, the three wins posted by the Huskies against the Blue Devils and Sooners had a cumulative final score of 15-3.

Pitcher Ian Cooke and Braden Quinn started off the Regional by shutting down the hottest offense in the ACC Tournament, limiting Duke to one earned run. Stephen Quigley took the mound in the winners' bracket against a hot Oklahoma squad, besting Sooners ace Braden Davis by allowing just a single earned run.

While the Huskies did nothing to improve their poor offensive numbers, the pitching staff put on a clinic in shutting down two capable Power 5 offenses.

Florida State projects at -300 or higher in games not started by Arnold. There's a massive difference in offense between these two clubs, with UConn averaging 6.6 runs per game to the Seminoles' 8.7.

While the bullpen ERA and xFIP are nearly identical for the two teams, the starting pitching staffs and hitting lineups are the vast difference. Florida State has a 91% chance to win the weekend, translating to true odds of -875.

Pick: Florida State -375

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