Kentucky vs Oregon State Odds & Picks: Top Prediction for Lexington Super Regional

Kentucky vs Oregon State Odds & Picks: Top Prediction for Lexington Super Regional article feature image
Credit:

Kate Woolson/Texas Rangers/Getty Images. Pictured: Oregon State’s Nelson Keljo.

Kentucky vs Oregon State Odds

Kentucky Wildcats Odds-138
Oregon State Beavers Odds+108

Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Super Regionals here.


The Wildcats and Beavers zipped through their respective Regionals, playing the minimum three games.

Kentucky beat Western Michigan, Illinois and Indiana State with a run differential of +12.

The rotation order was notable, as head coach Nick Mingione elected to move typical Game 1 starter Trey Pooser to Game 2, moving Dominic Niman to the opener.

Stopper Cameron O'Brien made two appearances from the bullpen, generating seven strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings.

The Wildcats played to their strengths, letting the pitching staff take the lead while hitting just enough to win games. Ranking 13th in fielding percentage, Kentucky showed elite leather from the field.

GRANT SMITH YOU WIZARD 😱

💻https://t.co/nKaZbu0Pm8 (@ESPNPlus)#WeAreUK x #RoadToOmaha | @grantsmithnmpic.twitter.com/pL4f49Orw1

— Kentucky Baseball (@UKBaseball) June 2, 2024

On the other side, a Big West sleeper came to Corvallis only to be sent back home packing. The Beavers cruised in an opener against the AAC's Tulane before taking two games from UC Irvine to win the Regional.

Jacob Kmatz was excellent in Game 2, but the heroes of the weekend came in the stopper-closer combination of Nelson Keljo and Bridger Holmes.

Oregon State finished with a +13 run differential through the three games, relying on an offense that finished top-10 in slugging and on-base percentage.

Travis Bazzana also continued his assault at the plate, homering in two of the three games during the Corvallis Regional.

Travis Bazzana 💣

The Oregon State star is No. 1 in our updated mock draft today.https://t.co/4yA0pwE5Ca

(🎥 @BeaverBaseball)pic.twitter.com/PRdT35Xikg

— Baseball America (@BaseballAmerica) June 1, 2024

This Super Regional should be the most tightly contested series of the weekend.

Oregon State is projected as a slight favorite in all three games, assuming Pooser returns to his Game 1 spot on Saturday. No projection favors either team by -125 or better.

The true odds for the series favor Oregon State with a 56% probability of winning the Super Regional. The chances of winning correlate to -125 in favor of the Beavers, as the tight lines give consumers the opportunity to buy and hedge before each game.

Pick: Oregon State -105 or Better

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