LSU vs. Tennessee College Baseball Super Regional Odds, Projections & Series Schedule

LSU vs. Tennessee College Baseball Super Regional Odds, Projections & Series Schedule article feature image
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William Howard/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Camden Sewell #16 of the Tennessee Volunteers.

  • Tennessee. LSU. An SEC matchup in Knoxville to decide which team advances to the College World Series.
  • The Tigers and Volunteers recently played an SEC series against each other, and if that matchup is any indication, this super regional should be a tight one.
  • Collin Wilson breaks it down below and shares a pick and prediction to go along with his projections for each game.

LSU vs. Tennessee Odds & Schedule

Knoxville Regional: June 12-14*

Odds
Game 1
Series
Futures
LSU
+185
+300
+4000
Tennessee
-225
-400
+550
Odds as of Thursday afternoon and via BetMGM.
  • Game 1: Saturday, 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2
  • Game 2: Sunday, noon ET or 3 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPNU
  • Game 3*: Monday, 4 p.m. ET or 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPNU

Series schedule and programming are subject to change due to flex scheduling and inclement weather.


Collin Wilson’s Super Regionals Betting Guide

LSU (38-23) vs. No. 3 Tennessee (48-16)

Series Betting Analysis

The easiest handicap on the board may be the two SEC teams that played a conference series in late March.

Tennessee ultimately swept in Knoxville, but the combined margin of victory was four runs. LSU twice had late leads, and Mother Nature played a large factor in the delay of Game 2.

The starting pitchers for Games 1 and 3 of the Knoxville series are expected to be the same as those taking the bump in Games 1 and 2 of this super regional, so there are plenty of analytics to pull from the series.

During the March 26 series, LSU outhit Tennessee in every box score, while Tennessee’s pitching staff dominated Tiger hitters from a strikeout perspective.

The Volunteers boast a top-five rank nationally in strikeout-to-walk ratio. Blade Tidwell has been the iron man of the group, consistently going over 100 pitches in each outing. The pitching staff is backed by an offense that has walk-off home runs against Arkansas and Wright State.


Probable Starting Pitchers & Projected Odds

Game
LSU
Tennessee
Proj.
1
Landon Marceaux
Chad Dallas
TENN -130
2
AJ Labas
Blade Tidwell
TENN -170
3*
Ma’Khail Hilliard
Will Heflin
TENN -140

LSU gave Tennessee all it could handle earlier in the season on this same turf.

There’s still not much separating these two clubs from an analytics perspective, but because of starters and bullpen FIP, the true odds of the series are closer to Tennessee -225.

That creates massive value in the current market that lists LSU at +325. This series is expected to go three games and be a nail-biter through every pitch.

Buy the Tigers down to the appropriate price of +175.

Pick: LSU +325 (down to +175)

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