Virginia vs Kansas State Odds, Pick, Prediction: How to Bet Charlottesville Super Regional

Virginia vs Kansas State Odds, Pick, Prediction: How to Bet Charlottesville Super Regional article feature image
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Samuel Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Virginia’s Henry Ford.

Virginia vs Kansas State Odds

Virginia Cavaliers Odds-270
Kansas State Wildcats Odds+200

Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Super Regionals here.


The Kansas State Wildcats were not on the bubble when the selection committee announced the field of 64. Other Big 12 teams were expected to make the cut, particularly a TCU team that beat Kansas State in the conference tournament.

After having their hearts broken from not making the field in 2023, the Wildcats cashed in on their berth in the Fayetteville Regional and are now playing with house money.

After a dominant offensive performance against Louisiana Tech, Kansas State rang up soon-to-be MLB pitcher Hagen Smith for six earned runs in a victory over the hosting Razorbacks.

LET HIM COOK! #KStateBSB x @thechosen1kcpic.twitter.com/8cUuVsjAoO

— K-State Baseball (@KStateBSB) June 2, 2024

Going from a pitcher's park in Baum-Walker Stadium to the nuclear blastoff site of Disharoon Park, the Wildcats must bring plenty of offense to keep up with Virginia.

The Cavaliers have the highest park factors number of any team in the Power 5. Hoos head coach Brian O'Connor has the sticks to rumble in their home park, as Virginia ranks top-10 in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, doubles and scoring.

The Cavaliers' weakness is the bullpen, heading into this series with a higher staff ERA and xFIP.

Virginia projects as a -250 to -320 favorite depending on the pitching matchup. Although Kansas State averaged a low 6.3 runs per game on the season, the Wildcats walked away averaging 11 per game against Arkansas, Louisiana Tech and Southeast Missouri State.

Virginia has an 82% chance to win the series, making -430 is the last number to buy on the Hoos.

Pick: Virginia -250

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