Creighton vs. Baylor Odds & Betting Predictions - March 19, 2023
Creighton at Baylor
11:10 pm • TBSCreighton at Baylor Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Creighton 24-10 | -1.5-110 | o143.5-110 | -125 | |
 Baylor 19-14 | +1.5-110 | u143.5-110 | +104 | |
Creighton vs. Baylor Expert Picks
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 224-245-6 (-6.0u)
CREI -125
1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 152.5 (Live)-116
1.16u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
L.Cryer u19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
Averaged 18.4 PRA in conference play. Under in 5/L7. 53% of his points (and 54% of his shots) are from three, and Creighton excels at taking away the three (third lowest 3P rate nationally).
He’s not much of an assist or rebound threat, and Creighton is stingy with both as is. This reads more of a Flagler/George game, as they’re both more proficient in creating their own shot.
T.Alexander o13.5 Pts-106
1u
Tied for the team lead with Kalkbrenner with 14.7 ppg this season. Baylor know it needs to collapse a bit on the big man, which should open up clean looks for Trey. Baylor had been plagued in Big 12 play by guards who can score at all three levels. Alexander had a rough shooting night vs NCST, but I like him to bounce back against a Baylor team that really struggled defensively in Big 12 play, and ranked 233rd in opp eFG%.
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 41-25-3 (+24.6u)
CREI -1.5-105
2u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 39-85-0 (+12.5u)
CREI -110
0.45u
Really not the right matchup for Baylor. Offense relies on oreb/FTs but Creighton great on glass and almost never fouls. Blue Jays balanced offense should score at will on this surprisingly poor Baylor D.
This matchup was always why Creighton was well setup for a run. Just the better team this year. Scott Drew 2-7 vs single digit seeds outside of title year.
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 74-48-1 (+23.1u)
CREI -113
2u
Over 143.5-112
2u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-127-16 (-4.9u)
CREI -1-110
$50.00
The Great Foosini
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CREI +1.5-107
0.93u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 5-47-0 (-7.4u)
R.Nembhard o4.5 Ast+110
1u
DK/BetMGM: Baylor is the perfect team to grab assists against. While they do force a few extra turnovers, it's not at a crazy high rate, but they don't foul at a high rate nor are they good on the defensive glass, allowing for a few second-chance assist opportunities. Where it really gets good is teams have an eFG% of 51.4% against them, compared to 50.4% nationally so more shots are going in. That's really poor for a team at this level. And when buckets do go in, teams are getting assists at a 60.1% compared to 51% nationally, leaving baylor 15th worst in that category. Projecting 5.5 for Nembhard
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 115-149-5 (+1.8u)
CREI -0.5-110
0.91u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 5-47-0 (-7.4u)
CREI -105
0.46u
#KeepRollingItUp
0.25u + 0.23u won in round 1 = 0.48u bet
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 2-5-0 (-3.8u)
CREI -105
2.86u
Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CREI -105
0.95u
Dabbundo
Over 145.5-110
0.91u
Calabrese
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 49-58-3 (+29.7u)
CREI +1.5-117
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 99-80-5 (+15.6u)
BAY -113
1u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.Kalkbrenner o5.5 Rebs-106
1u
Projection - 6.9: For more, check out BettingPros.
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CREI +1.5-122
$90.16
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 15-8-0 (+3.8u)
CREI +1-110
0.45u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.8u)
CREI +1-110
1u
Creighton vs. Baylor Previews & Analysis
Creighton vs. Baylor Notes
Bracket Predictions
Halfway through the Second Round, Baylor is the second most likely No. 3 seed to make the Final Four, with 16.2% odds (breakeven moneyline +515).
As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod was No. 3 Baylor, with 45.3% odds.
Creighton is the public's second favorite No. 6 seed Sweet Sixteen pick, and was selected to win this game in 30% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
No. 6 Creighton has played in 11 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 7-11 straight up and 5-12-1 against the spread in 18 total games.
No. 3 Baylor has played in 10 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 18-9 straight up and 15-12 against the spread in 27 total games.
Since 2002, No. 3 seeds like Baylor are 28-10 against No. 6 seeds like Creighton in the Second Round (73.7% win rate, breakeven moneyline -280).
Second Round matchups pitting a No. 3 seed against a No. 6 seed have gone over the full game total an even 50.0% of the time (18-18-2, average over/under line 138.0).
No. 3 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 23-15 ATS (60.5% cover rate, average spread -2.5).
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Creighton vs. Baylor Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Baylor are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Baylor are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Baylor are 3-12 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Baylor' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Baylor' 17 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Baylor vs. Creighton Injury Updates
Baylor Injuries
- Jayden NunnG
Nunn is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Obi AgbimG
Agbim is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Creighton Injuries
- Sterling KnoxG
Knox is out for season with left team
Out for Season
- Fedor ZugicG
Zugic is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Team Stats
Creighton vs. Baylor Odds Comparison
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Creighton at Baylor Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Creighton 24-10 | N/A | N/A |
Baylor 19-14 | N/A | N/A |