Princeton vs Missouri Odds, Picks & Predictions - March 18, 2023

PRIN @ MIZZ

10:10 pm • TNT

Princeton Tigers

20-8

78 - 63

Missouri Tigers

24-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Princeton 20-8	+6	+6.5-110	o145.5-110	+205
Missouri 24-9	u152.5	-6.5-110	u145.5-110	-262

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

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As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod was No. 2 Arizona, with 62.5% odds.

Our tournament ratings give Missouri 71.5% odds to win this game and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.

Entering the Second Round, Missouri is the most likely No. 7 seed to make the Final Four, with 7.8% odds (breakeven moneyline +1185).

Princeton is the public's second favorite No. 15 seed Sweet Sixteen pick, but was still selected to win this game in fewer than 1% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

No. 15 Princeton has played in only three of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 0-3 straight up and 2-1 against the spread in three total games.

Since 2002, No. 7 seeds like Missouri are 1-3 against No. 15 seeds like Princeton in the Second Round (25.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline +300).

Second Round matchups pitting a No. 7 seed against a No. 15 seed have gone over the full game total 75.0% of the time (3-1, average over/under line 139.0).

No. 15 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 3-1 ATS (75.0% cover rate, average spread +9.6).

No. 7 Missouri has played in nine of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 8-9 straight up and 8-9 against the spread in 17 total games.

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 16th	USU	W 76-65	+1.5 W	U 155.5	MIZZ +105
Mar 11th	@ALA	L 61-72	+9 L	U 157.5	ALA +375
Mar 10th	TENN	W 79-71	+5.5 W	O 140.5	MIZZ +185
Mar 4th	MISS	W 82-77	-9.5 L	O 148.5	MIZZ -450
Mar 2nd	@LSU	W 81-76	-4 W	O 148.5	MIZZ -190

Missouri are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Missouri are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Missouri are 7-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Missouri' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Missouri' 21 last games at home

NCAAB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Missouri	17-16	10-11	7-5	10-9	7-7
Princeton	13-10	6-6	7-4	9-9	4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Missouri	18-15	14-7	4-8	13-6	5-9
Princeton	12-11	8-4	4-7	11-7	1-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Missouri	24-9	N/A	N/A	18-1	6-8
Princeton	20-8	N/A	N/A	14-4	3-2

Princeton

Missouri

27-62 (44%)

Field Goals

25-61 (41%)

12-15 (80%)

Free Throws

7-7 (100%)

12-33 (36%)

6-22 (27%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Princeton 20-8	o69.5-120	u69.5-110
Missouri 24-9	o75.5-118	u75.5-115