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Arkansas vs. New Mexico State NCAA Tournament Odds, Projections for March Madness 2022

Arkansas vs. New Mexico State NCAA Tournament Odds, Projections for March Madness 2022 article feature image

Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Jaylin Williams

  • No. 4 Arkansas meets No. 12 New Mexico State in Saturday's second round of the NCAA Tournament.
  • The Razorbacks beat Vermont on Thursday, while the Aggies pulled off an upset against UConn.
  • Continue reading for the betting odds and our projections for this matchup.

Arkansas vs. New Mexico State Odds

Arkansas Odds -6
New Mexico State Odds +6
Over/Under 138.5
Date/Time Saturday, 8:40 p.m. ET
Spread and over/under via FanDuel. Find more March Madness odds here

The madness marches on as we roll into the second round of the 2022 NCAA Tournament, featuring No. 4 Arkansas against No. 12 New Mexico St.. Find our expert’s projected odds and more about how these teams match up ahead of the Round of 32 below.

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Projected Arkansas vs. New Mexico State Odds

Projected Arkansas Odds -8
Projected New Mexico State Odds +8
Projected Over/Under 134.9
March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.
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Arkansas vs. New Mexico State Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arkansas and New Mexico State match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Arkansas Offense vs. New Mexico State Defense
eFG% 211 23
Turnover % 90 278
Rebound Rate 77 68
Free Throw Rate 30 106

New Mexico State Offense vs. Arkansas Defense
eFG% 81 61
Turnover % 311 49
Rebound Rate 45 84
Free Throw Rate 62 222

Pace of Play
Tempo 30 203

More About Arkansas

Collin Wilson: Eric Musselman is primed for another run to the Elite Eight and a chance to make the Final Four trip to New Orleans.

Arkansas started the SEC season 0-3 before rattling off 14 wins in 15 conference games. Boasting a 7-2 against-the-spread (ATS) mark on the road, the Razorbacks have more buzz than just a team that depends on the home crowd at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas has thrived in transition offense with heavy emphasis on finishing at the rim. From a defensive perspective, the Hogs have feasted against heavy screen and post-up offenses.

The key to beating the Razorbacks is a lockdown wing defender on JD Notae and strong protection at the rim. Opponents without those elements will have no luck knocking off the Hogs.

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More About New Mexico State

Chase Howell: New Mexico State is heading back to the tournament for the first time since 2019. That’s after the Aggies missed the tournament just once from 2012-2019.

New Mexico State is back to the mid-major power we got accustomed to during that timeframe. It finished 26-6 on the season and won both the WAC regular season and conference tournament title.

Former Nebraska Cornhusker Teddy Allen leads the way for the Aggies, averaging 19.3 points per game. Sir’Jabari Rice is Allen’s sidekick and averages 12.2 points per game.

This is a team that no one would be surprised to see pull off an upset.

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