Stuckey’s Favorite College Basketball Situational Spots: Hofstra-Northeastern, 5 More for Saturday

Feb 02, 2019 09:35 AM EST
Credit:

Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Northeastern head coach Bill Coen

  • Which college basketball teams are primed for a letdown on Saturday? Which could come out flat?
  • Stuckey runs through six appealing situational spots, including his favorite of the day: Hofstra-Northeastern.

Yes, it’s Super Bowl weekend! I can’t wait to root for all of my props and look for live betting opportunities, but we have a whole weekend of action before we get to kickoff on Sunday night.

That starts with our first massive February — March is coming! — college basketball card. And like I’ve done the past two weeks (and will do each Saturday leading up to the NCAA tournament), I’ll highlight my favorite situational spots.

The four most popular situational angles include letdowns, lookaheads, sandwiches and revenge (which I went into greater detail on in last week’s article).

These are just the first level of factors to consider; there are plenty of others that pop up. I simply use this exercise to circle the best situational spots on the card, then I use my numbers and analyze the matchups to finalize my bets.

There’s no easy formula with situational spots; it’s definitely more art than science. But you should at least be aware of the non-mathematical angles when capping college kids playing basketball.

It’s not a particularly great Saturday card for situational spots. I usually have at least 10 circled that make the final cut, but only six made my card. (Mississippi State just missed as the seventh if you’re curious.)

Let’s dive in, starting with an ACC clash that tips at 4 p.m. ET.

Season Record: 9-11 (-2.88 units)


>> All odds as of Saturday at 3:30 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NCAAB odds and track your bets.


Miami +20 at Virginia

2 p.m. ET on ACCN

Yikes, but I think I have to buy low on Miami in this spot at this number.

Virginia comes off a hard-fought win at N.C. State and has a week off after this game before getting Duke and North Carolina in a three-day stretch next weekend.

I just can’t see the full focus being there for 40 minutes against a reeling Hurricanes squad. This game should also be ugly, which makes the +20 even more appealing. And with a slower pace and fewer possessions, I’m not as afraid of Miami’s depth issues hurting it in the second half.


It also doesn’t hurt that three of Miami’s primary contributors played on the team that upset Virginia in Charlottesville two seasons ago. The Canes also have a few guys who are capable from the perimeter.

I don’t think they have a shot at pulling off another shocker — they were only 8-point dogs in that meeting in the 2016-17 season — but I think they can hit enough 3s against the pack-line to keep this within  20 against a potentially very flat UVA team.