Auburn vs Texas A&M Odds, Picks: Target This Total Pick
Michael Chang/Getty Images. Pictured: Allen Flanigan and Bruce Pearl
Auburn vs Texas A&M Odds
-115o / -105u
|Texas A&M Odds|
-115o / -105u
Texas A&M welcomes Auburn to the Reed Arena on Tuesday night for a pivotal matchup in the Southeastern Conference.
The Aggies have been playing their best basketball in conference play, coming into this game at 8-2 in the conference and 16-7 overall.
Meanwhile, the Tigers have lost three of their last four to fall out of the Top 25, but they still own a solid 7-3 mark in the league.
This contest has major ramifications for postseason play for both programs, and should be a great defensive battle.
Auburn was very close to a signature win on Saturday, pushing No. 6 Tennessee to the brink in a three-point loss in Knoxville, Tenn.
Even in defeat, head coach Bruce Pearl’s team showed the stout defense that has been carrying the Tigers. Pearl’s squad is inside the Top 25 in multiple defensive categories, including AdjD (17th), EFG% (6th) and opponents’ 2-point (19th) and 3-point shooting (3rd), according to barttorvik.com.
Auburn held the Volunteers to their lowest point total this season. However, the offense was again the issue by just scoring 43 points.
On the offensive end of the floor, the Tigers are led by Wendell Green Jr. (13.6 PPG) and Johni Broome (13.5 PPG). Both have improved on their averages in SEC play, and they will need to carry the load for the program until other scorers can step up.
After a slow start to the campaign, Texas A&M has turned it all around in conference play, with only No. 3 Alabama having more league wins.
The Aggies will need that to continue if they want to earn an invite to the NCAA Tournament as they come into this game as the First Team Out in ESPN’s Bracketology.
The remaining schedule is manageable, with the Crimson Tide, Vols and Arkansas all coming to College Station, Texas, while also giving A&M an opportunity to build its resume.
Coach Buzz Williams has built a balanced squad this season, ranking in the Top 50 in both AdjO and AdjD. The Aggies are also known to live at the free throw line, entering this matchup in fifth in free throw rate.
Auburn vs. Texas A&M Betting Pick
In the first meeting between the teams, A&M won outright as a 3.5-point underdog, with the total going over the closing number of 137.5. I don’t see any value on a side, but I do think there has been too big of an adjustment to the total.
With that said, my best bet is for the game to fall under the total of 140.5, which I would play to 139.5.
Yes, the first game did finish with 142 points. However, I’m not expecting the Aggies to shoot the ball as well as they did in that contest.
Texas A&M scored 45 points in the first half on 58.6% shooting from the field and 54.5% from the 3-point line. This is not something that I see happening again for a squad that ranks 188th in EFG% and 288th in 3-point shooting.
This was also the same team that only shot 34.6% from the field and 12.5% from the 3-point line in the second half of that game. Meanwhile, Auburn is an even worse shooting team, ranking 241st in EFG% and 353rd in 3-point%.
From a pace perspective, the Tigers are 150th in tempo, but they have played slower in SEC play. A&M is not a team that likes to play fast either, coming in at 222nd in tempo.
This same total has cashed in four of five Aggie home games in conference action, and I think we have a great shot at another winning ticket.
Pick: Under 139.5 or Better
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