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Kansas State vs Oklahoma Odds, Prediction: The ML Bet to Make

Kansas State vs Oklahoma Odds, Prediction: The ML Bet to Make article feature image

Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images. Pictured: Markquis Nowell (Kansas State)

Kansas State vs Oklahoma Odds

Tuesday, Feb. 14
9 p.m. ET
Kansas State Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-105o / -115u
Oklahoma Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-105o / -115u
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

Two of the Big 12’s most erratic teams are set to square off, and there will be no love between the Kansas State Wildcats and the Oklahoma Sooners.

Kansas State appears to have regressed over its most recent stretch of games. Its 19-6 record may look impressive, but three of its losses have come in the last four games.

Speaking of a rough patch, Oklahoma has been clobbered by its conference foes lately. The Sooners come into this matchup on a four-game losing streak.

Which of these two teams will get back on track? Let’s take a closer look to find out.

Kansas State Wildcats

If you look at their numbers on paper, the Wildcats appear to be a solid offensive team, as they rank 48th in adjusted efficiency on the season.

However, a close look reveals they are a two-man show. Luckily, the show should go on vs. Oklahoma.

Markquis Nowell and Keyontae Johnson make up 52% of the Wildcats’ usage rate. However, they each have very different skill sets.

Nowell is the perimeter threat. We’ll see him work off the high ball screen to either generate an open look from beyond the arc or create space to pull up from mid-range.

Nowell will also dish the ball quite often, and Johnson has been on the receiving end of many of his dimes. Johnson has been dynamite from inside the arc this season, as he’s made 55% of his 2-pointers this season.

His work in and around the paint will be key in this matchup, as the Sooners have been stout against 3-pointers.

Look for Nowell to penetrate and dish off screens to generate looks consistently.

Oklahoma Sooners

In the intro, I touched on how rough the Sooners’ losing streak in conference has been. This is primarily due to their poor play on the offensive end of the court.

The Sooners rank last in the Big 12 in turnover rate, offensive rebounding rate and offensive efficiency.

What is not helping is their defensive numbers, which have also been equally bad in conference play.

In this game, like many others, the Sooners will rely on Grant Sherfield’s ability to hit outside shots.

Kansas State allows teams to shoot a high number of 3-pointers, and Sherfield is the only guy who can make the Wildcats pay from distance.

While they may have opportunities to sink 3s, their outlook from that range is still bleak, as the Wildcats are the Big 12’s best team in terms of 3-point percentage allowed (27th nationally).

If Sherfield can’t get it going, it will be tough for the Sooners to keep pace offensively.

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Kansas State vs Oklahoma Betting Pick

It’s clear that Kansas State has begun to regress, but it gets to face an Oklahoma team that is spiraling towards rock bottom.

Look for the Wildcats to have the edge on both ends of the floor, which will ultimately lead to them having the edge on the scoreboard, as well.

Back the Wildcats to get the road victory.

Pick: Kansas State ML -110 (Play to -125)

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