Ohio State vs Indiana Odds, Picks: Which Side of Total to Target?

Ohio State vs Indiana Odds, Picks: Which Side of Total to Target? article feature image

Pictured: Trayce Jackson-Davis

Ohio State vs Indiana Odds

Saturday, Jan. 28
8 p.m. ET
Ohio State Odds
-115o / -105u
Indiana Odds
-115o / -105u
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

Ohio State travels to Bloomington, Ind., on Saturday evening to take on an Indiana Hoosiers team that has been rolling.

The Hoosiers opened up Big Ten play with three straight losses, and have since taken down Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan State and Minnesota. This turnaround can be attributed to an uptick in defensive production as the Hoosiers have allowed just 59 points per game during this four-game winning streak.

On the other side, the Buckeyes are still looking to find consistency as they sit at 3-9 in conference play. Against the Hoosiers, Ohio State will look to recreate the same offensive fire power as they did last Saturday when they took down Iowa, 93-77.

To pick who has the upper hand in this classic Big Ten matchup, let's take a look at the odds and make a prediction for Ohio State vs. Indiana.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Although their success has been sporadic, the wins the Buckeyes have been able to put together are a credit to their play on the offensive end.

Ohio State has the ninth-highest adjusted offensive efficiency as a result of its ability to create penetration, take care of the basketball and find high quality looks from the perimeter.

The Buckeyes rank ninth nationally in 3-point percentage despite only taking 30.6% of their field-goal attempts from beyond the arc. This high conversion rate can be credited to their ability to score 55.4% of their points from 2-point range, the 60th highest rate in the country.

Converting these open looks from the perimeter will be important against an Indiana defense effective at defending the interior. Trayce Jackson-Davis and the Hoosiers rank seventh nationally in block percentage, resulting in their opponents shooting just 44.9% from close range.

Where Ohio State has had its issues this season is in creating pressure on the defensive end. The Buckeyes create turnovers on just 17.1% of their opponents possessions, 265th nationally.

This lack of pressure will be highlighted against an Indiana offense thriving on creating penetration. The Hoosiers score 59.3% of their baskets from the interior, the 17th highest rate in the country.

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Indiana Hoosiers

The Hoosiers have returned to form on the back of the Jackson Davis. The junior center is averaging 30.3 points per game in Indiana's last three contests.

Trayce Jackson-Davis powers through for @IndianaMBB 🔥💪 pic.twitter.com/b1QeQiDzSj

— FOX College Hoops (@CBBonFOX) January 26, 2023

This play from Jackson-Davis is reflected in the Hoosiers' offensive numbers. Indiana ranks 22nd nationally in 2-point percentage at 55.5% a game.

These quality shots from close range have given the Hoosiers an ability to not have to rely on outside shooting to drive their offense. Indiana takes just 29.2% of their shots from 3-point range, one of the lowest rates in the country.

Not having to rely on their outside shooting will be vital against an Ohio State team allowing opponents to score 28.7% of its points from the perimeter on 29.3% shooting.

Ohio State vs. Indiana Betting Pick

On paper, this is a matchup of a high flying Hoosiers offense with an efficient Buckeyes offense. Although this is true, I believe each defense has some key advantages in this matchup.

Over the last four games, the Hoosiers have revamped their defensive presence through their ability to clog the lane. Indiana is only allowing teams to score 49.8% of its points from 2-point range.

This will force an Ohio State offense which is only attempting 30.6% of its field goal attempts from beyond the arc into more low percentage perimeter shots.

On the other side, Indiana will look to continue the trend of playing through Jackson-Davis in the half-court and relying on its defense.

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