Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Picks: Target This Inflated SEC Line
Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images. Pictured: Jerry Stackhouse (Vanderbilt)
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Odds
-114o / -106u
-114o / -106u
No. 4 Alabama looks to stay perfect in the SEC with a victory in Nashville on Tuesday night at Vanderbilt.
The Crimson Tide (15-2) are joined by Texas A&M at the top of the SEC standings as the lone two programs that are undefeated.
Meanwhile, the Commodores are fresh off one of their best wins of the season, knocking off No. 25 Arkansas to enter this game at 2-2 in conference play and 9-8 overall.
Both of these teams can score the basketball, which should give us an entertaining affair at the Memorial Gymnasium.
There may not be another team in the country that's playing as well as Nate Oats’ squad right now.
Alabama has covered all five SEC victories with an average margin of victory of 22.8 points. The Tide have also scored 86 points per game in the process.
The best performance may have come over the weekend in the 40-point victory over LSU, as the Crimson Tide went over the century mark with 106 points. It was the largest victory over an SEC opponent since Alabama’s 93-54 win over Auburn in the 2005 season.
On the year, Oats’ team is one of just five programs that rank inside the top 25 by Bart Torvik in both offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency, joining Houston, UCLA, Connecticut and Kansas.
The Crimson Tide enter this matchup at +1100 odds to win the NCAA tournament at FanDuel, and I wouldn’t bash anyone for adding that ticket with the way they are playing.
This will be Vanderbilt’s fourth straight game against a ranked opponent, and the Commodores have held their own during this rough stretch.
In the previous three contests, coach Jerry Stackhouse’s squad has covered the spread against Missouri, Tennessee and Arkansas.
However, this will be the biggest test yet.
The strength of this roster is on the offensive end of the floor, where Vanderbilt ranks 44th in the country in AdjO and 55th in offensive rebounds.
Senior big man Liam Robbins leads the team with 13.2 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. He's also an excellent shot blocker, coming into this matchup ranked in the top five in blocks per game at 2.94.
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Betting Pick
Jumping out in front of this Alabama team may not end well with the way it's playing at the moment, but I do believe this number on the road is a bit inflated.
With that said, my best bet is to back Vanderbilt +9.5, which I would play down to +8. I’m hoping the market will drive this number up to get something over double digits, but I still feel like the home team is the right side.
For starters, the Commodores always seem to find themselves in very close games. Of their 17 games on the year, 12 have been decided by nine points or less, including three of four SEC contests.
You also wonder how the Crimson Tide may be impacted by the news off the court surrounding former forward Darius Miles, who was charged with capital murder over the weekend in connection to a shooting near campus.
He was not necessarily a key contributor on the floor, but it will be a distraction before this game.
As long as Alabama continues to win, the numbers in the betting market will continue to favor Oats’ squad more and more, which will eventually lead to value opposing it.
Let’s hope that begins here for the Commodores.
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