College Basketball Sharp Betting Pick (Dec. 31): Morgan State vs. Cal State Northridge

College Basketball Sharp Betting Pick (Dec. 31): Morgan State vs. Cal State Northridge article feature image
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Tony Quinn/ISI Photos/Getty Images. Pictured: Troy Baxter

What better way to cap off the calendar year than betting a five game college football bowl slate non-televised college basketball game between two teams you may or may not have known to exist?

Don’t get me wrong, sharps aren’t ignoring the exciting New Year’s Eve bowl slate. They’ve made some moves on the Sun and Liberty Bowls, among others. But I’d argue that today’s Morgan State-Cal State Northridge college hoops matchup has been as big a target as any for pro bettors on the Tuesday sports docket.


Odds as of Tuesday at 12 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.


Morgan State vs. Cal State Northridge Odds, Sharp Betting Pick

3 p.m. ET

  • Spread: Cal State Northridge -7.5
  • Over/under: 151

On the surface, this spread seems a like a bit of a head scratcher. Cal State Northridge enters the game at just 3-11, yet the Matadors are 7.5-point favorites over Morgan State (6-8).

Likely a result of that difference in records, most bettors — 72% to be exact — have happily taken the points since the line opened. Despite that, though, the line is actually up from its initial number.

Morgan State opened as low as +6, which makes the move up to +7.5 a notable one considering the Bears’ popularity. And as you’ve probably guessed from the title of this post, sharp bettors have been the driving force behind the movement.

The 28% of CS Northridge bettors have generated an impressive 64% of actual money being wagered. That obviously creates a slight monetary liability for sportsbooks, but perhaps more importantly, it reveals the opinion of bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.

Confirming the professional action, three Sports Insights Bet Signals — real-time indicators of market moves caused by sharp money — have been triggered on the Matadors. We’ve yet to see any such sign on the opposite side.

Sharp angle: Cal State Northridge (moved from -6 to -7.5)