Maryland vs. Michigan State Betting Odds, Pick, Prediction: Why the Market Is Counting on Spartans To Improve


Mitchell Layton/Getty Images. Pictured: Anthony Cowan Jr.

  • Updated Maryland vs. Michigan State odds list the unranked Spartans as a surprising 6.5-point home favorite, with the total at 137.5.
  • MSU has struggled the last few weeks while Maryland continues to win despite some close results.
  • See how our experts are betting Maryland vs. Michigan State below.

Maryland vs. Michigan State Odds

  • Odds: Michigan State -6.5
  • Total: 138
  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

Maryland-Michigan State odds via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

Something’s been off with Michigan State for the last few weeks. The Spartans have dropped three of their last four, but most forward-looking projection systems still love them and place Tom Izzo’s team inside the top 10.

That’s why Michigan State is a 6.5-point favorite over a Maryland team that’s on a seven-game winning streak but is running a little lucky in recent games.

Who has the edge on Saturday night? Let’s dive in.

Market Moves for MSU-Maryland

Maryland is attracting heavy action in this game, moving the line from +7 to +6.5 at most books. The Terps are getting 70% of bets and 79% of money.

Trendy underdogs have not been a good bet. Fading any visiting dog in a conference game getting more than 70% of bets has resulted in a 54% winning percentage over the last 10 seasons. — Steve Petrella

When Maryland has the Ball

The Terrapins have been excellent at getting to the free throw line. Maryland is top 25 nationally in point distribution from free throws, ranking No. 2 in Big Ten play and hitting 77%.

Unfortunately for the Terps, Michigan State does not foul often. The Spartans are 123rd in personal foul rate nationally for a mid-pack rank in conference.

The biggest issue for Maryland this game are the Sparty swats and interior defense. Michigan State is the top blocking defense in the Big Ten with a national rank in the top 20. Maryland’s offense has a block percentage of 314th, so Michigan State is going to challenge every single shot.

Maryland must find its stroke from behind the arc, as they are outside the top 300 in 2-point distribution. If the Spartans force the Terrapins to feed the ball down low, there could be a Xavier Tillman block party in East Lansing. — Collin Wilson

When Michigan State Has the Ball

The Spartans get equal point distribution from the paint, outside the arc and free throws. The biggest issue has been ball protection.

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