Purdue vs. Texas Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness 2022

Purdue vs. Texas Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness 2022 article feature image
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Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Jaden Ivey #23 of the Purdue Boilermakers.

Purdue vs. Texas Odds

Purdue Odds-4
Texas Odds+4
Over/Under132.5
Opening odds via DraftKings. Find more real-time March Madness odds here.

The madness marches on as we roll into the second round of the 2022 NCAA Tournament, featuring No. 3 Purdue against No. 6 Texas. Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match up ahead of the Round of 32 below.

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Projected Purdue vs. Texas Odds

Projected Purdue Odds-2
Projected Texas Odds+2
Projected Over/Under137.1
March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.
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Purdue vs. Texas Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Purdue and Texas match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Purdue Offense vs. Texas Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
eFG%339
Turnover %9214
Rebound Rate14254
Free Throw Rate40316

Texas Offense vs. Purdue Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
eFG%174165
Turnover %159342
Rebound Rate6226
Free Throw Rate11111

Pace of Play
Tempo245341

More About Purdue

Stuckey: Purdue came into the season as a legit national title contender, but the Boilermakers have a few issues, primarily on the defensive end. They don’t force turnovers and struggle mightily to defend the perimeter, especially against pick and roll.

The offense, which works through the post as much as almost any team, is absolutely elite in almost every sense outside of a few turnover issues that can creep up. However, I’m just not sure they have the caliber of defense necessary for a national championship.

A good rule of thumb that has almost always held true is you can’t win a national title if the sum of your offensive and defensive efficiency (per KenPom) is greater than 50. Purdue ranks second in offense, but 101st in defense.

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More About Texas

Doug Ziefel: Much like their counterparts in Lubbock, the Longhorns are a tremendous defensive team. Texas finished the regular season 12th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 14th in turnover percentage.

The major question mark is their offense. It has been very streaky from game to game, which is shown in their effective field goal percentage. They had a 50.1 effective field goal percentage heading into the Big 12 Tournament, which was on point with the national average.

They have plenty of potential on offense thanks to weapons like Timmy Allen, Marcus Carr and Andrew Jones. If they can get those three guys going, they will be able to compete.

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Nick Sterling
Jul 14, 2024 UTC