Each week, I will pick out a new variety six pack for Saturday morning to go along with my six favorite situational sides on the college football card. Short and simple. I’m looking to close with a bang over the final two Saturdays, as I have basically only covered the cost of the beers with these six weekly picks so far this year (not complaining though).
Louisiana Monroe +37.5
You know we love this one if you listened to the latest episode of our podcast .Classic sandwich spot fade of Auburn after their enormous win over Georgia with Alabama for the SEC West title next week. I don’t expect the most focused effort from the Tigers, who should also use this game as an opportunity to rest some key starters. Louisiana Monroe will be the more prepared team coming off of their bye, and they are still fighting for bowl eligibility. Keep an eye out on Marcus Green, one of the best kick/punt returners in the country, who should have a few explosive returns against an Auburn coverage unit that has been horrendous over the last month (allowing over 40 yards per kick return and 30 yards per punt return).
Ohio State -41
If anybody knows how important style points are late in the season, it is Urban Meyer, who used a 59-0 win over Wisconsin to sneak into the College Football Playoff in 2014. I don’t see how Illinois scores, as their offense has been decimated by injuries (lost leading rusher and receiver). The Buckeyes’ front seven should absolutely abuse the Illini offensive line alive, which is one of the worst units in all of college football (ranked 128th in sacks allowed and 120th in rushing yards per game). Don’t overthink this one. Ohio StateMENT game.
Duke linebacker Ben Humphreys won’t be available today, which does hurt against the heavy Georgia Tech rushing attack. However, the spot is still too good to pass up at 7-plus against a Georgia Tech team that is 0-4 on the year away from their home stadium (Clemson, Virginia, Tennessee, Miami). Duke should be prepared for the triple option offense, as they have seen it as much as anybody in the country over the past few years (including last week). I expect their defense to be very strong in short yardage rushing downs. Classic sandwich spot for the Yellow Jackets after beating a ranked Virginia Tech team last week with a massive game against their in-state rival Georgia Bulldogs next week. Georgia Tech is still bowl motivated, but I expect Duke to get revenge for the fourth quarter lead they blew in a three-point loss at Bobby Dodd Stadium last season.
A bowl appearance still means a great deal to the UTSA program, and they need to win one of their two remaining games to get there. Marshall, officially out of contention for the CUSA East Division, doesn’t really have much to play for in San Antonio. UTSA sports a top-10 national pass defense (top-25 pass defense efficiency rating), which should come in handy against the pass-heavy offense of Marshall. The Thundering Herd also have a number of players listed as questionable on the injury report, including their top two wide receivers, Tyre Brady and Marcel Williams. If one or both are out, I’m not sure how Marshall will move the ball today, as they have no running game to speak of at 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground (91st in the country).
If you caught my “Tin Horn” article earlier in the week, you know that we hit the 9-1 Terriers from Spartanburg. Wofford will travel less than two hours southeast to Columbia with a real chance of a major upset. The No. 7 ranked FCS team features one of the best option attacks in the nation. This is a great spot to fade South Carolina here with Clemson on deck, especially considering they haven’t seen a triple option offense since this same weekend in 2015 against Citadel, who beat the Cocks as 22-point underdogs.
SMU should arrive at the Liberty Bowl with motivation to avenge an embarrassing 51-7 home loss at the hands of the Tigers last year, and they have the offense to keep up in what should be a back-and-forth affair. Memphis could come out a little flat after the bye, especially knowing all they need to do is win one of their next two games to clinch the AAC West. (They play ECU at home next week, so they have essentially already clinched the division.) Check out the CW9 (if you haven’t already) to see why fellow Action Network college football expert Collin Wilson also agrees with the dog in this spot.
Week 12 Six-Pack Recap:
- Louisiana Monroe +38
- Ohio State -41
- Duke +7
- UTSA -1
- Wofford +25.5
- SMU +11
Total: 27-24-3 (53%) +1.43 units