Florida State vs. Georgia Tech Odds, PRO Report: Sharp Action, Big Bets, Betting Systems Aligned on Spread
Omar Rawlings/Getty Images. Pictured: James Blackman
- Our brand new PRO Report is already lighting up with value on Florida State vs. Georgia Tech.
- Danny Donahue takes a look at Saturday's college football matchup between the Seminoles and Yellow Jackets using a variety of betting signals and trends.
- Below, he details how early sharp action, combined with PRO betting systems, have aligned on this spread.
It may be only Tuesday, but the betting market for Saturday’s college football slate is already starting to take shape, as clearly illustrated by our brand new PRO Report.
Florida State vs. Georgia Tech, specifically, has been a major landing spot for sharp action and big bets. Coincidentally, it’s also fitting one of our PRO betting systems. Making things even more intriguing, all three of those indicators are aligned on the same side of the spread …
Let’s take a look.
Note: Report as of Tuesday at 7:15 p.m. ET.
Florida State vs. Georgia Tech Odds, PRO Report
PRO Report angle: Florida State
Florida State opened as an 11-point favorite — a number that’s now up to -12.5. Pictured below is the PRO Report breakdown to help explain why.
Sports Insights Bet Signals serves as our measuring stick for sharp action, and they’ve been triggered twice on the FSU spread since this line opened, with both signals coming in the form of steam moves.
Steam refers to a heavy dose of money hitting the same side of a bet over a very short period of time — often across multiple sports books — that causes a sudden, market-wide line shift. As such, it’s a strong indication of sharp action.
As of Tuesday evening, no SI Bet Signals have been triggered on Georgia Tech.
Oftentimes, you’ll find that the sharp side of a game aligns with the less popular side. However, that hasn’t been the case here — at least not at this point — as 75% of spread tickets have landed on Florida State. Still, our public betting percentages show that 75% plurality of tickets has accounted for almost all (95%) of the actual money hitting the spread.
Why is that important? Well, although big bets can technically come from anyone, they are more likely to come from sharper players. So when you see a major discrepancy — like this one — between a ticket percentage and money percentage, you can use that as a pretty strong hint toward identifying the sharp side.
As mentioned, the ‘Noles also fit one of our PRO betting systems: Opening Game Matchup. The system focuses on home teams that reached a bowl the season prior and has produced a win rate of 57% since 2005, good for a 10% return on investment.
Be aware, though, that FSU will fall out of this system if the spread continues to rise.