The Kent State Golden Flashes take on the Oklahoma Sooners in Norman, OK. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Oklahoma is favored by -45.5 points on the spread, and the total is set at 53.5 points.
Here’s my Kent State vs. Oklahoma predictions and college football picks for Saturday, October 4, 2025.
Kent State vs Oklahoma Prediction
- Kent State vs. Oklahoma Pick: Over 53.5
My Oklahoma vs. Kent State best bet is on the over. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Kent State vs Oklahoma Odds
| Kent State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+45.5 -110 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | N/A |
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-45.5 -110 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | N/A |
- Kent State vs Oklahoma point spread: Oklahoma -45.5
- Kent State vs Oklahoma over/under: 53.5 points
Kent State vs Oklahoma Pick, Betting Analysis
The main story entering this game is the absence of Oklahoma's Heisman Trophy candidate quarterback John Mateer, who underwent right hand surgery recently. That will put sophomore Michael Hawkins Jr. in the starting role for this tune-up matchup.
Meanwhile, Kent State is 1-3 and was already beaten down this season by Florida State and Texas Tech under interim head coach Mark Carney. The Golden Flashes are much better than last season's squad (not saying much) and they're coming off a bye week, giving them some fresh legs.
So, what's the bet? Our very own Evan Abrams has a system called "Unfamiliar Blowout Overs" that says the play for this matchup is on the over.
In fact, the system has strong overall (16%) and 2025 season (17%) return on investment (ROI), giving this bet some nice value.
"Unfamiliar Blowout Overs" is a college football system that identifies high scoring potential in non-conference games where mismatches often lead to inflated point totals.
During the regular season, when the home team is heavily favored by more than 30 points, the talent gap is wide enough that scoring can come quickly and often.
Non-conference opponents are less familiar with each other’s schemes, which reduces defensive preparation and increases the likelihood of big plays.
By focusing on games where the closing total is below 60, the system finds situations where expectations are modest despite the conditions favoring offense.
In these contests, the stronger team can pile on points while the underdog often contributes through late scoring in garbage time, pushing results over the total more often than anticipated.
While the Flashes may not compete, their fresh legs and potential to score in garbage time creates an opportunity to back this total.
Pick: Over 53.5
