LSU vs Ole Miss Odds, Prediction: Can Rebels Cruise?
Justin Ford/Getty Images. Pictured: Ole Miss running back Quinshon Judkins.
LSU vs Ole Miss Odds
| LSU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 66.5 -115o / -105u | -145 |
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 66.5 -115o / -105u | +120 |
We have ourselves another marquee SEC matchup on Saturday, as the No. 13 LSU Tigers travel to Oxford to take on the No. 20 Ole Miss Rebels.
Brian Kelly's squad has done a nice job of bouncing back after losing its season opener to Florida State.
However, it's fortunate not to have another loss on its record, as the Tigers needed a last-second field goal to take down Arkansas last week despite being 17-point favorites.
As for Lane Kiffin and the Rebels, they took their first loss of the season at the hands of the Alabama Crimson Tide last week. However, they get to return home for this matchup and will be raring to get back on track in front of a home crowd.
Will that be the case? Or will the Tigers add a ranked opponent to their resume? Let's take a closer look at the LSU vs. Ole Miss odds and make a pick and prediction in this college football betting preview for Saturday, Sept. 30.
When looking at the LSU offense, it all starts with the big boys up front. The offensive line has done a tremendous job of getting a consistent push, ranking fourth in Offensive Line Yards and ranked 15th in PFF's run-blocking rating.
The Tigers' success up front has done wonders for the rushing attack, as running back Logan Diggs comes into this matchup averaging 6.7 yards per carry. We know quarterback Jayden Daniels is a big part of the run game as well, and even he's averaging 4.3 yards per rush.
However, Daniels may have to keep the offense on the field with his arm in this one, as the Rebels rank 21st in yards per rush allowed. Ole Miss also sits 22nd in tackling, so there won't be much after the Rebels make initial contact defensively.
As for the passing attack, we need to give Daniels credit, as he's been very efficient this season. He ranks 14th in completion percentage and 12th in yards per pass.
However, his line has not given him consistent protection, which could be a cause for concern in this matchup.
Last week, LSU allowed 426 yards of offense in its narrow victory over Arkansas. It may have been able to out-gun the Razorbacks, but if it repeats that performance, the Rebels could do a lot of damage very quickly.
Speaking of being quick, the Rebels' pace will be a significant factor in their offensive success. Ole Miss boasts the fifth-fastest offense in the country in terms of seconds per play, and its quick-fire unit will only amplify its edges as the LSU defense tires during drives.
This LSU defense ranks 120th in Defensive Finishing Drives, and the Rebels shouldn't have a problem extending drives through the air. Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart has taken strides this season in the pocket and enters this matchup as PFF's 15th-best quarterback in the country.
He will have the opportunity to shred an LSU secondary that ranks 107th in coverage rating and 92nd in yards per pass allowed.
Look for Dart to throw darts all night long before handing it off to star running back Quinshon Judkins, who leads the team with four rushing touchdowns.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how LSU and Ole Miss match up statistically:
LSU Offense vs. Ole Miss Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 8 | 43 | |
| Line Yards | 4 | 53 | |
| Pass Success | 24 | 43 | |
| Havoc | 4 | 46 | |
| Finishing Drives | 21 | 19 | |
| Quality Drives | 2 | 49 |
Ole Miss Offense vs. LSU Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 103 | 91 | |
| Line Yards | 74 | 83 | |
| Pass Success | 29 | 99 | |
| Havoc | 90 | 48 | |
| Finishing Drives | 33 | 120 | |
| Quality Drives | 14 | 103 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 107 | 22 |
| PFF Coverage | 107 | 48 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 93 | 55 |
| Middle 8 | 21 | 35 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.2 (55) | 22.4 (5) |
| Rush Rate | 51.1% (83) | 51.9% (107) |
LSU vs Ole Miss
Betting Pick & Prediction
The Tigers are favored here on the road, and that line is a tad disrespectful to the Rebels. LSU could be in trouble quickly if it's unable to get the ground game going in this SEC showdown.
Ole Miss will play fast and create as many opportunities as possible to put points on the board. The Rebels have the potential to create explosive plays through the air in this matchup while having one of the best backs in the nation to fall back on.
LSU is officially on upset watch in this matchup, and at the current pricing, there's more value in taking the Ole Miss moneyline rather than the 2.5 points.
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