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Michigan State vs. Pitt Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Peach Bowl

Michigan State vs. Pitt Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Peach Bowl article feature image

Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Kenneth Walker III.

Michigan State vs. Pitt Odds

Michigan State Odds +4
Pitt Odds -4
Over/Under 63.5
Date Dec. 30
Location Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia

Michigan State is set to take on Pitt in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 30 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

Find our expert’s projected spread and total, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the 2021 Peach Bowl below.

Michigan State vs. Pitt Projected Odds

Michigan State Spread +5
Pitt Spread -5
Over/Under 65.4

These Michigan State vs. Pitt projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Michigan State Reached the Peach Bowl

It was a dream season for Mel Tucker and his team, one that earned him a 10-year, $95 million contract.

The Spartans went 10-2, highlighted by a win over Michigan at home. They spent much of the latter half of the season ranked inside the top 10. After Tucker went 2-5 in his inaugural season, it finally looks like the Spartans are back to being a national power.

If you haven’t heard about Kenneth Walker III yet, you probably live under a rock or shouldn’t be betting on college football.

Walker is a Heisman candidate and will likely win the Doak Walker Award as the nation’s top running back. He ran for 1,636 yards (second nationally) and 18 touchdowns (fifth) this season. Walker led the nation in rushing yards per attempt among running backs with at least 200 carries.

Michigan State got it done by running the football and stopping the run on defense. Quarterback Payton Thorne has been solid but isn’t going to light it up through the air. It’s the pass defense that has been Michigan State’s kryptonite all season long. Sparty finished dead last (130th out of 130th) in the FBS in passing yards allowed and passing yards allowed per game and it really wasn’t close.

MSU had a great year against the spread with an 8-3-1 record.

How Pitt Reached the Peach Bowl

Say hello to your somewhat surprising ACC champions!

Pittsburgh dropped just two games this season to Western Michigan and Miami by a combined seven points, but got it rolling when it mattered most with five straight wins to end the season, including a 45-21 stomping of Wake Forest in the ACC Championship Game.

The Panthers were also very friendly to bettors this season, posting an 8-4 against-the-spread record.

And want to impress your friends and/or co-workers at the water cooler heading into bowl season? Did you know that Pittsburgh closed as a favorite in all 12 of its games this season?

Michigan State vs. Pitt Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Michigan State and Pitt match up statistically:

Michigan State Offense vs. Pitt Defense
Rush Success 45 17
Line Yards 75 8
Pass Success 36 58
Pass Blocking** 30 43
Big Play 38 80
Havoc 48 10
Finishing Drives 70 56
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pitt Offense vs. Michigan State Defense
Rush Success 49 58
Line Yards 36 30
Pass Success 7 106
Pass Blocking** 25 28
Big Play 15 83
Havoc 17 71
Finishing Drives 8 37
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 103 41
Coverage 87 61
Middle 8 52 1
SP+ Special Teams 115 35
Plays per Minute 42 100
Rush Rate 55.9% (60) 48.6% (104)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Peach Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 30
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV Info: ESPN

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