Michigan State vs. Pitt Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Peach Bowl

Michigan State vs. Pitt Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Peach Bowl article feature image
Credit:

Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Kenneth Walker III.

Michigan State vs. Pitt Odds

Michigan State Odds+4
Pitt Odds-4
Over/Under63.5
DateDec. 30
LocationMercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia

Michigan State is set to take on Pitt in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 30 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

Find our expert's projected spread and total, a recap of each team's seasons, plus more information on the 2021 Peach Bowl below.


Michigan State vs. Pitt Projected Odds

Michigan State Spread+5
Pitt Spread-5
Over/Under65.4

These Michigan State vs. Pitt projections are based on Collin Wilson's college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Michigan State Reached the Peach Bowl

It was a dream season for Mel Tucker and his team, one that earned him a 10-year, $95 million contract.

The Spartans went 10-2, highlighted by a win over Michigan at home. They spent much of the latter half of the season ranked inside the top 10. After Tucker went 2-5 in his inaugural season, it finally looks like the Spartans are back to being a national power.

If you haven’t heard about Kenneth Walker III yet, you probably live under a rock or shouldn’t be betting on college football.

Walker is a Heisman candidate and will likely win the Doak Walker Award as the nation’s top running back. He ran for 1,636 yards (second nationally) and 18 touchdowns (fifth) this season. Walker led the nation in rushing yards per attempt among running backs with at least 200 carries.

Michigan State got it done by running the football and stopping the run on defense. Quarterback Payton Thorne has been solid but isn’t going to light it up through the air. It’s the pass defense that has been Michigan State’s kryptonite all season long. Sparty finished dead last (130th out of 130th) in the FBS in passing yards allowed and passing yards allowed per game and it really wasn’t close.

MSU had a great year against the spread with an 8-3-1 record.

How Pitt Reached the Peach Bowl

Say hello to your somewhat surprising ACC champions!

Pittsburgh dropped just two games this season to Western Michigan and Miami by a combined seven points, but got it rolling when it mattered most with five straight wins to end the season, including a 45-21 stomping of Wake Forest in the ACC Championship Game.

The Panthers were also very friendly to bettors this season, posting an 8-4 against-the-spread record.

And want to impress your friends and/or co-workers at the water cooler heading into bowl season? Did you know that Pittsburgh closed as a favorite in all 12 of its games this season?


Michigan State vs. Pitt Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Michigan State and Pitt match up statistically:

Michigan State Offense vs. Pitt Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success4517
Line Yards758
Pass Success3658
Pass Blocking**3043
Big Play3880
Havoc4810
Finishing Drives7056
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pitt Offense vs. Michigan State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success4958
Line Yards3630
Pass Success7106
Pass Blocking**2528
Big Play1583
Havoc1771
Finishing Drives837
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling10341
Coverage8761
Middle 8521
SP+ Special Teams11535
Plays per Minute42100
Rush Rate55.9% (60)48.6% (104)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Peach Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 30
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV Info: ESPN

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