The NC State Wolfpack take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in South Bend, Indiana, on Saturday, Oct. 11. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.
Notre Dame is favored by 22.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2000. NC State, meanwhile, comes in as a +22.5 underdog and is +1000 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 60.5 points.
Here’s my NC State vs. Notre Dame prediction and college football pick for Saturday, October 11.
NC State vs Notre Dame Prediction
- NC State vs. Notre Dame Pick: Under 60.5
My Notre Dame vs. NC State best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
NC State vs Notre Dame Odds
| NC State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+22.5 -110 | 60.5 -110o / -110u | +1000 |
| Notre Dame Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-22.5 -110 | 60.5 -110o / -110u | -2000 |
- NC State vs Notre Dame Spread: Notre Dame -22.5, NC State +22.5
- NC State vs Notre Dame Over/Under: 60.5 Points
- NC State vs Notre Dame Moneyline: NC State +1000, Notre Dame -2000
NC State vs Notre Dame College Football Betting Preview
Saturday's NC State vs. Notre Dame college football betting system fits a historically profitable betting system from our Bet Labs database.
Named "High Powered Unders," this is a college football system designed to take advantage of inflated totals when both teams have strong scoring averages.
Games where the home and visiting offenses average at least 24 points often lead oddsmakers and bettors to expect high-scoring affairs, especially when the closing total sits at 51 or higher.
However, these high expectations don't always match game reality, particularly in the regular season before postseason urgency changes play-calling.
Added factors, such as humidity above 40%, wind speeds of at least 8 MPH and totals that don't move more than a few points from open to close, create environments where offenses struggle more than anticipated.
With the home team playing within its first 11 games of the year, the season is still in progress, and game plans remain conservative at times, leading to a slower tempo and lower scoring than the market projects.
This combination of public perception, weather influence and modest line movement creates reliable value on the under.
NC State vs Notre Dame Pick, Betting Analysis
This play hinges on a Notre Dame defense that has been one of the best in the country at limiting explosive plays. The Fighting Irish rank fifth nationally in passing explosiveness allowed and 22nd in rushing explosiveness allowed.
That's bad news for an NC State offense that sits just 59th in Success Rate and 49th in explosiveness — especially after putting up only 21 points two weeks ago against a Virginia Tech team that had just fired its head coach.
On the other side, Notre Dame doesn't have an overpowering offense either. The Fighting Irish played two games against top-five opponents, but after that, they played Purdue, Arkansas and Boise State.
Well, Notre Dame still comes in at 70th in explosiveness and 63rd in Success Rate.
This game sets up perfectly for an under, especially with a total in the 60s. Given the matchup on the field and the historically profitable system at play, that's exactly what we're going to bet.
Pick: Under 60.5
NC State vs Notre Dame Betting Trends
