College Football Odds & Picks for Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Bet the Eagles in Tuesday’s High-Scoring Affair

College Football Odds & Picks for Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Bet the Eagles in Tuesday’s High-Scoring Affair article feature image
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Steven King/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Gunnar Oakes.

  • Western Michigan goes to battle with Eastern Michigan in Tuesday night college football action.
  • Updated odds make the Broncos 6.5-point favorites, but Keg sees value on the underdog and the total.
  • Check out his full breakdown and betting pick below.

Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan Odds

Tuesday, Nov. 16
7:30 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Western Michigan Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-6.5
-110
66.5
-110o / -110u
-245
Eastern Michigan Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+6.5
-110
66.5
-110o / -110u
+194
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

A Tuesday night in-state MACtion battle between MAC West rivals? Sign me up, as Western Michigan heads to Ypsilanti to take on Eastern Michigan at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Both teams currently own a 6-4 record, and in their last 10 games, they’ve won five each. However, the Eagles have a much better record against the spread, posting a 7-3 mark over the last 10.

The MAC West is a very competitive division with no true bottom-dweller, so while they’re fighting to avoid a last-place ranking, neither of these teams are actually terrible.

This game will also be the first to kick off the competition for the “Michigan MAC Trophy,” which is awarded to the best MAC school from Michigan against the other directional michigan schools in the conference.

With a win over the Broncos, Eastern Michigan will move to 7-4. The Eagles have not won seven of the first 11 games in a season since 1989, so a victory would also set them up for their first eight-win season since 1987 when they won their only MAC Championship.

But it won’t be easy for an Eagles team that ranks 27th in offense and 83rd in defense nationally against the Broncos, who find themselves ranked 54th on offense and 94th on defense.

Can the Eagles step up as a home dog and continue a chase for their best season in over 20 years?


Western Michigan Broncos

Broncos Need to Keep Possession of the Ball

Western Michigan comes into this game after a high-scoring win over Akron.

The Broncos picked up the 45-40 win with quarterback Kaleb Eleby leading the way. Eleby posted a 174.1 QB rating while recording one rushing touchdown and two through the air.

Running back Sean Tyler had a solid game and continues to be the workhorse of the Broncos offense. Rushing for 147 yards on just 16 carries against Akron, he also added on one touchdown.

One of the most important factors for Western Michigan against EMU will be to continue to dominate the time of possession. So far this season, the Broncos have averaged possession for 59% of the game. Keeping the ball away from the Eagles’ Air Raid offense that has had success against secondaries far better than the Broncos will be vital.

The Broncos’ rush-first offense matches up well against an Eagles defense that allows 195 rushing yards per game. But to secure a win on the road this week, keeping the ball out of the Eagles’ hands as much as possible may be the clearest path to success.

Defensively, the Broncos are allowing 30 points per game and 210 passing yards on average, something the Eagles should have no trouble taking advantage of if given the chance.

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Eastern Michigan Eagles

Ben Bryant Gives Eagles a Boost

The Eagles will look to attack the air like they have for most of the season. They rank 15th in the country in completion percentage (55.28%) and 22nd in passing yards per game (286.4).

Eastern Michigan has improved considerably this year with Cincinnati transfer Ben Bryant at quarterback. He’s completing 69.7% of his passes so far, and in three of his last four games, he’s recorded over and has 300 yards.

The Eagles rank 55th nationally in completion percentage while also sitting 22nd in passing yards.

One concern for Bryant this weekend will be the level of protection he’ll have. The Broncos boast a 9.59% Sack Rate, ranked 10th in the country. They will undoubtedly be one of the biggest challenges the Eagles’ offensive line faces this season.

The Eastern Michigan offense averages 34.0 points per game and 392.3 yards per game. Defensively, it’s allowing 28.2 points and 431.4 yards.


Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan match up statistically:

Western Michigan Offense vs. Eastern Michigan Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 14 128
Line Yards 14 127
Pass Success 53 116
Pass Blocking** 105 21
Big Play 63 80
Havoc 10 115
Finishing Drives 51 93
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Eastern Michigan Offense vs. Western Michigan Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 93 60
Line Yards 75 22
Pass Success 23 15
Pass Blocking** 44 15
Big Play 78 102
Havoc 52 19
Finishing Drives 13 68
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 21 68
Coverage 118 114
Middle 8 71 12
SP+ Special Teams 130 18
Plays per Minute 105 58
Rush Rate 60.1% (28) 49.6% (99)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan Betting Pick

Outside of special teams, where Eastern Michigan has a massive advantage, these two teams are pretty evenly matched and have a lot to play for.

Therefore, I’ll take the points with the Eagles in what I expect to be a close game. I’m also going to be betting the over, as both teams match up worse defensively where the other team excels offensively.

I bet Eastern Michigan at +6.5. However, I did play it small as I’ll continue to look for the key number of 7 at -120 or better until kickoff. I got the over at 66 and would play it as high as 68.

Pick: Eastern Michigan +6.5 or better · Over 66 (Play to 68) 

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