Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Cardinals at Commanders

5:00 pm • FOX

Arizona Cardinals

3-4

16 - 20

Washington Commanders

5-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 3-4	+7-106	o38-110	+250
Commanders 5-2	-7-113	u38-110	-310

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 10, 2023

Northwest StadiumLandover

J.Conner Anytime TD Scorer+175

0.5u

WAS -7-105

2.1u

ARI +7-110

0.91u

B.Baker o5.5 Tackles + Ast-105

WAS -7-110

Under 38.5-110

0.5u

J.Slye u7.5 Kicking Pts-125

1.25u

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S.Howell o4.5 Rush Att-120

1.2u

Bieniemy is installing an RPO based offense, similar to what Howell ran in college. We saw Howell use his legs in his lone start last season (5 carries), but now I’m expecting 2-3 designed runs on top. Throw in sneaks and kneel down potential - I have Howell closer to 6 totes.

B.Baker o5.5 Tackles + Ast-115

1.15u

Budda lead this Cardinals team in tackles last season with 111 in just 15 games - over in 10/15 (one loss was due to a late injury). Playmaker both versus the run and in coverage. He won’t come off the field. He also loves starting the season strong. Dating back to his second season, his week 1 tackle totals have been: 13, 8, 15, 8, 11. Plus, Arizona’s offense is going to be even worse this season, with little reason to think they can sustain drives. I expect the Cards defense to be on the field a bunch. And Washington ranked 1st in opponent tackles per game last season as is. New coaching staff, but I do expect baker to be deployed similarly (splitting most of his snaps between free safety and in the box).

ARI +7-105

0.48u

Gross, but just too many points when we know nothing about either QB, esp with such a low total. Teams that won 4-6 games as Wk 1 dogs 68% ATS. Wk1 road dogs that missed playoffs 64%.

WAS -7-110

$1.00

B.Robinson o58.5 Rush Yds-114

0.88u

J.Dobbs u208.5 Pass Yds-114

Under 40-110

ARI +6-110

0.91u

It’s gross, but as @SimonHunterNFL and I discussed on @TheFavoritesPodcast, it must be done. FD quickslip https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.380305751&selectionId[0]=50209&shareBetId=10023_-443033149

Featured Insight
The Commanders threw for 1,932 passing yards in 9 games at home (214.7 YPG) last season -- seventh-worst in NFL. The Cardinals allowed 180.8 passing yards per game on the road last season -- second-best in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals threw for 5.9 yards per attempt out of the shotgun last season -- second-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed 6.2 yards per dropback against the shotgun last season -- tied for 10th-best in NFL.

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3 Over/Unders Backed by Big Money, Projections
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Sep 10, 2023 UTC
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NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Commanders' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	6-1-1	4-0	2-1-1	3-0	3-1-1
Cardinals	4-3	2-2	2-1	0-1	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	5-3	1-3	4-0	1-2	4-1
Cardinals	3-3-1	2-2	1-1-1	1-0	1-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	5-2	N/A	N/A	3-0	3-2
Cardinals	3-4	N/A	N/A	0-1	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	CIN	W 21-19	-3 L	O 34.5	WAS -164
Aug 22nd	BAL	W 29-28	+1 W	O 37.5	WAS +105
Aug 11th	@CLE	W 17-15	+2.5 W	U 37	WAS +124
Jan 8th	DAL	W 26-6	+7.5 W	U 41	WAS +265
Jan 1st	CLE	L 10-24	-1.5 L	U 41.5	CLE -120

Jordan Magee
LB
Magee is out with knee
Out
Tyler Owens
S
Owens is out with shin
Out

Garrett Williams
CB
Williams is questionable with groin
Questionable
Darius Robinson
DE
Robinson is out with calf
Out
Christian Jones
OL
Jones is questionable with ankle
Questionable

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Cardinals

Total

Commanders

210

Total Yards

248

Total Plays

3.6

Yards Per Play

3.8

Cardinals

Passing

Commanders

132

YDS

202

21/30

Comps/Atts

19/31

3.455

YPA

4.216

0/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

3/18

Sacks/Yards

6/46

Cardinals

Rushing

Commanders

Rush Yards

Attempts

3.84

YPC

3.286

TDs

Cardinals

Turnovers

Commanders

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Cardinals

Efficiency

Commanders

0/2 0%

Redzone

2/5 40%

4/14 0%

3rd Down

4/12 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Cardinals

First Downs

Commanders

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Cardinals

Misc

Commanders

9/122

Penalties/Yards

8/70

28:36

Possession

31:24

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MatchupOverUnder
Cardinals 3-4	o14.5-115	u14.5-118
Commanders 5-2	o22.5-127	u22.5-104

Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Cardinals at Commanders

Arizona Cardinals

Washington Commanders

Cardinals at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Cardinals

Commanders

Cardinals vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

3 Over/Unders Backed by Big Money, Projections

Cardinals vs. Commanders: Intriguing Gibson Prop To Bet

Action's NFL Betting Primer: Every Trend to Know for Week 1 (Sunday Update)

The 60% ATS System for NFL Week 1

Cardinals vs. Commanders Props

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Cardinals vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Cardinals

Public

Commanders

Bets%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

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Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

Cardinals at Commanders Team Totals