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Raiders vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2025

Raiders at Commanders

5:00 pm • FOX

Las Vegas Raiders

1-1
10
10 - 20

Washington Commanders

1-1
20

Raiders at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Raiders
1-1
+6.5
+3-115
o43.5-115
+131
Commanders
1-1
u47.5
-3-105
u43.5-110
-155
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 21, 2025
Northwest StadiumLandover
Raiders vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-98-0 (+6.9u)
WAS -2.5-120
0.12u
Just a nibble on my Commanders If this game goes over its total, its because Mariota isnt as bad as we think in this WAS offense
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 38-29-0 (+8.8u)
Over 43.5-112
1.12u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (+2.3u)
Over 43.5-110
0.55u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-98-0 (+6.9u)
WAS/LV: No Touchdowns+10000
0.03u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-3-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday-sept-21
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 35-42-0 (-6.7u)
Over 43.5-112
1.68u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-98-0 (+6.9u)
Over 50.5+200
0.1u
Alt over
Over 46.5+125
0.25u
Alt over
Over 43.5-110
1.1u
Strong Luck Over
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 18-16-0 (+1.0u)
WAS -2.5-120
1.2u
Projection: -3.5. For more, check out the Fantasy Life game model.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 35-42-0 (-6.7u)
J.Croskey-Merritt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+127
1.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 42-48-3 (-12.9u)
LV +3-115
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 35-42-0 (-6.7u)
WAS -3-105
2.1u
J.Croskey-Merritt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
1.5u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 18-16-0 (+1.0u)
G.Smith o0.5 Int-139
0.69u
Projection: -168. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (+2.3u)
LV +3-115
0.58u
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.0u)
A.Jeanty o55.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Good up to 58.5
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 106-99-7 (-1.2u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u1.5 Recs-117
0.59u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 13-31-0 (+2.6u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u1.5 Recs-117
0.59u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 16-27-0 (-4.8u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u1.5 Recs-117
0.59u
I promise my entire Week 3 won’t be just gross unders on props where the player has stayed under in both games so far. Just wanted to get ahead of the ones I thought would move some before tomorrow. I have a handful of “buy low” type props where I expect their price to only improve tomorrow. Bill is going to play more snaps with Ekeler out, but I still expect McNichols to take most of the 3rd down type work. Chris Rodriguez should be active this week and also eat into his snaps. Bill fell down on both of his targets so far because he didn’t know which direction the pass would be coming. Mariota checked down to his back just 6% of the time (3rd lowest rate in league) in his last full season in Atlanta.
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 8-16-1 (-5.2u)
J.Lane u1.5 Recs+145
1u
There is a value opportunity on Jaylin Lane's receptions prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 1.66 receptions, while sportsbooks implies 2.30. The model believes there is a 56% chance he records fewer than 1.5 receptions, so there is some value on the under at +145. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 177-157-0 (+10.8u)
B.Wagner o8.5 Tackles + Ast-120
1u
D.White o7.5 Tackles + Ast-135
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 41-67-1 (-22.7u)
Over 43.5-110
1u
Same read as NO v SF last week but do you really care?
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-98-0 (+6.9u)
D.Thornton 2+ TDs Yes+5500
0.05u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 13-31-0 (+2.6u)
D.Thornton Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.5u
#Tailing @nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-98-0 (+6.9u)
D.Thornton Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.5u
Man
D.Thornton First Touchdown Scorer Yes+2200
0.1u
Man
Kenny Ducey
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 21-15-1 (+5.1u)
LV +3.5-113
1.13u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 25-32-0 (-9.8u)
Under 44-105
0.63u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 18-16-0 (+1.0u)
D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.5u
Projection: 0.55 TDs, +113. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 81-73-3 (+10.3u)
LV +6-115
1.15u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 17-53-0 (-18.8u)
LV +6.5-110
1u
Week 3 Hot Read @wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/puoNyDzFGWb
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 8-49-0 (-18.5u)
LV +6.5-110
1.5u
🔥 Week 3 Hot Read 🔥

Raiders vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

  • Anytime Touchdown Picks for Every NFL Game article feature image

    Anytime Touchdown Picks for Every NFL Game

    Gilles Gallant•
    Sep 21, 2025 UTC
  • 6 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 3 article feature image

    6 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 3

    Action Predictive Analytics•
    Sep 21, 2025 UTC
  • Raiders vs. Commanders: Trendy Spread Prediction for Sunday article feature image

    Raiders vs. Commanders: Trendy Spread Prediction for Sunday

    John Lanfranca•
    Sep 21, 2025 UTC
  • NFL Week 3 Picks, Player Props, & Parlays! | Action Playbook LIVE article feature image

    NFL Week 3 Picks, Player Props, & Parlays! | Action Playbook LIVE

    Nick Giffen•
    Sep 20, 2025 UTC
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Raiders vs. Commanders Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Raiders vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Raiders

Public

Home Logo

Commanders

39%

Bets%

61%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Commanders are 1-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Commanders are 1-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Commanders are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Commanders' last 2 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Commanders' 1 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders		1-11-00-11-00-1
Raiders		1-10-11-0N/A1-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Commanders		0-20-10-10-10-1
Raiders		0-20-10-1N/A0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders		1-1N/AN/A1-00-1
Raiders		1-1N/AN/AN/A1-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 12th@GBL 18-27+3 LU 48.5GB +150
Sep 7thNYGW 21-6-6.5 WU 45.5WAS -288
Aug 23rdBALL 3-30+3 LU 35.5BAL +142
Aug 19thCINL 17-31+3.5 LO 43.5CIN +158
Aug 8th@NEL 18-48+6.5 LO 37.5NE +237

Commanders vs. Raiders Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Noah Brown
    WR

    Brown is out with groin

    Out

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with achilles

    Out

  • John Bates
    TE

    Bates is out with groin

    Out

  • Jayden Daniels
    QB

    Daniels is out with knee

    Out

Raiders Injuries

    See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
    Team Stats

    Total

    141
    Total Yards
    259
    26
    Total Plays
    30
    5.4
    Yards Per Play
    8.6

    Passing

    102
    YDS
    85
    6/10
    Comps/Atts
    9/13
    7.667
    YPA
    6.538
    1/0
    TDs/INTs
    0/0
    2/10
    Sacks/Yards
    0/0

    Rushing

    49
    Rush Yards
    174
    14
    Attempts
    17
    3.5
    YPC
    10.235
    0
    TDs
    2

    Turnovers

    0
    Fumbles Lost
    1
    0
    Interceptions
    0

    Efficiency

    1/2 50%
    Redzone
    1/2 50%
    1/6 0%
    3rd Down
    1/3 0%
    1/1 0%
    4th Down
    0/0 0%

    First Downs

    7
    Total
    11
    4
    Pass
    4
    3
    Rush
    5
    0
    Penalty
    2

    Misc

    4/41
    Penalties/Yards
    5/35
    14:17
    Possession
    15:43

    Raiders vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

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    Raiders at Commanders Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Raiders
    1-1
    N/A
    N/A
    Commanders
    1-1
    N/A
    N/A