2023 NFL Mock Draft: Expert Predictions for Round 1 Picks

2023 NFL Mock Draft: Expert Predictions for Round 1 Picks article feature image
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Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images. Pictured: Bijan Robinson.

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, finished with the ninth-most accurate mock draft in 2022 (per FantasyPros). He's back with first-round predictions for the 2023 NFL Draft. Follow him in the Action App to get all his NFL Draft picks.


It's NFL Draft week, and naturally, there’s uncertainty all across the board.

While Alabama quarterback Bryce Young has become the overwhelming favorite to go first overall to the Carolina Panthers, where the other top signal-callers – C.J. Stroud, Will Levis and Anthony Richardson – land is murkier to predict.

Our NFL expert, Sean Koerner, believes what the Houston Texans do with the second pick is the key to how the top half shakes out.

Check out Koerner’s first 2023 NFL mock draft below.

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2023 NFL Mock Draft


No.TeamPick
1PanthersBryce Young, QB, Alabama
2TexansC.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State
3CardinalsWill Anderson Jr., DE, Alabama
4ColtsWill Levis, QB, Kentucky
5SeahawksTyree Wilson, EDGE, Texas Tech
6LionsDevon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois
7RaidersChristian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon
8FalconsBijan Robinson, RB, Texas
9BearsJalen Carter, DT, Georgia
10EaglesPeter Skoronski, OT, Northwestern
11TitansAnthony Richardson, QB, Florida
12TexansNolan Smith, DE, Georgia
13JetsParis Johnson, OG, Ohio State
14PatriotsJaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State
15PackersLukas Van Ness, EDGE, Iowa
16CommandersJoey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State
17SteelersBroderick Jones, OT, Georgia
18LionsBryan Bresee, DT, Clemson
19BuccaneersAnton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma
20SeahawksMyles Murphy, DE, Clemson
21ChargersZay Flowers, WR, Boston College
22RavensDeonte Banks, CB, Maryland
23VikingsQuentin Johnston, WR, TCU
24JaguarsEmmanuel Forbes, CB, Mississippi State
25GiantsJordan Addison, WR, USC
26CowboysMichael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame
27BillsO'Cyrus Torrence, OL, Florida
28BengalsDalton Kincaid, TE, Utah
29SaintsCalijah Kancey, DT, Pittsburgh
30EaglesWill McDonald IV, EDGE, Iowa State
31ChiefsDawand Jones, OT, Ohio State
*The Dolphins forfeited their first-round pick. 

About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons

Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.

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