49ers vs. Chiefs Betting Guide: Can Jimmy G Bounce Back in KC?

49ers vs. Chiefs Betting Guide: Can Jimmy G Bounce Back in KC? article feature image
Credit:

Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jimmy Garoppolo

San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -3.5
  • Over/Under: 45
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET

The Chiefs host the 49ers in one of six Preseason Week 3 games on Saturday night. Let's take a look at key storylines and actionable betting takeaways for both teams.

San Francisco 49ers

No, Jimmy Garoppolo has not had a good August. Throwing five interceptions in five consecutive attempts during practice wasn't a great look, nor was his 1-for-6 performance for zero yards and (luckily only) one interception against the Broncos last Monday night.

In the wise words of the great Aaron Rodgers: R-e-l-a-x.

Jimmy G (8.3 adjusted yards per attempt) joins Patrick Mahomes (9.4), Matt Ryan (8.8), Deshaun Watson (8.5), Tom Brady (8.4) and Drew Brees (8.3) as the only quarterbacks to average at least eight adjusted yards per attempt over the past three seasons among 48 signal callers with double-digit starts.

The potentially more concerning narrative surrounding the 49ers is the reality that they might not have an above-average scoring offense. That's surprisingly been the case in eight of head coach Kyle Shanahan's 11 seasons as a head coach or offensive coordinator.

Kyle Shanahan rank in points per game as OC/HC

Houston
2008: 17th
2009: 10th

Washington
2010: 25th
2011: 26th
2012: 4th
2013: 23rd

Cleveland
2014: 27th

Atlanta
2015: 21st
2016: 1st

San Francisco
2017: 20th
2018: 21st

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) August 22, 2019

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs told the media that their starters would likely play a half last week. Patrick Mahomes and Co. ultimately exited the game after two unsuccessful drives in the first quarter.

It's unclear how we'll see from the league's most explosive offense on Saturday night.

Damien Williams: 4.45
Darwin Thompson: 4.5 (pro day)
Tyreek Hill: 4.28 (pro day)
Sammy Watkins: 4.43
Demarcus Robinson: 4.59
Mecole Hardman: 4.33
Travis Kelce: 4.64 (pro day)#SpeedKills

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) August 20, 2019

The good news is that the unit's two newest members should continue to get plenty of chances to shine.

  • Second-round receiver Mecole Hardman (4.33-second 40-yard dash) gives the Chiefs yet another ridiculously fast option in the passing game. He's turned three receptions into 48 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
  • Sixth-round running back Darwin Thompson has reportedly leaped Carlos Hyde on the depth chart. Thompson has broken five tackles on his 10 touches while Hyde has forced zero missed tackles on his seven touches (per Graham Barfield).

Per our tools at Bet Labs, the Chiefs are surprisingly just 9-19-2 at home in the preseason since 2004. Gimme the 49ers.

PICK: 49ers +3.5

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