AFC, NFC Championship Moneyline Betting Strategy: Titans & Packers Worth Bets to Win Outright?


Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Ryan Tannehill

Jan 17, 2020, 01:05 PM EST
  • The Titans and Packers are similarly large underdogs in their respective conference championships this weekend.
  • Check out how such teams have performed in the past, and whether history suggests moneyline value.

The spreads for this weekend’s conference championships definitely catch the eye.

For one thing, they’re nearly identical. The 49ers are 7.5-point favorites over the Packers and the Chiefs are bouncing between -7 and -7.5 against the Titans.

But probably more striking is their magnitude. Sure, there are some surprise teams in the mix, but conference championship games are supposed to be competitive — at least more so than this.

Historically speaking, it’s unusual for conference championships to feature spreads north of a touchdown, but it does happen. Dating back to 2003-04 (the beginning of our Bet Labs database), eight of the 32 conference championships have closed at -7 or higher.

And because of the expectation for competitive games, many bettors are probably asking themselves whether there’s value in a moneyline wager this weekend.

NFL Conference Championship Moneyline Betting Strategy