Would Super Bowl Homefield Make Vikes Favorites Over Pats?
Earlier this month, oddsmakers offered lookahead Super Bowl LII lines for all potential matchups. Now that the field is down to four, they’ve updated the spreads for each of the remaining games. Let’s take a look, going from the most-likely to the least-likely matchup
Patriots vs. Vikings (pk)
On January 3, the Vikings were listed as 1-point favorites over the Patriots due largely to home-field advantage. Oddsmakers now see this game as a pick’em, although a one-point line move in this range doesn’t mean all that much. You have the think the public would be all over the Patriots at that number.
Patriots (-6.5) vs. Eagles
This line has shifted from Patriots -7.5 to -6.5, moving through the key number of 7. Part of the reason could be the Eagles’ impressive defensive showing against the Falcons on Saturday night (10 points allowed).
Jaguars vs. Vikings (-6)
This is the one matchup that has not budged since oddsmakers opened Super Bowl 52 lookaheads at the start of the playoffs. While oddsmakers have not yet seen the need to make an adjustment, one would be likely, considering the changing public perception should the Jaguars upset the Patriots as 9-point underdogs.
Jaguars (-2.5) vs. Eagles
In the quarterback matchup nobody wants to see, the Jags would be slight favorites and, luckily for oddsmakers, there’s no need to worry about whether 30 is a reasonable opening over/under for a Super Bowl just yet.