Atlanta Legends-Arizona Hotshots AAF Betting Guide: How to Play This with John Wolford’s Status in Flux

Atlanta Legends-Arizona Hotshots AAF Betting Guide: How to Play This with John Wolford’s Status in Flux article feature image
Credit:

Courtesy of @TheAAF/Twitter. Pictured: John Wolford

Betting Odds: Atlanta Legends at Arizona Hotshots

  • Spread: Arizona -14
  • Over/Under: 41.5
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET on Sunday
  • TV: NFL Network

Betting market: The Hotshots opened as 13.5-point favorites, but they’re on the rise already.

The over/under has dropped since opening at 41.5, but any news on Arizona quarterback John Wolford (strained back) could be crucial to both the spread and total.

Week 3 Takeaways

Atlanta’s 28-12 Loss Against Birmingham

  • Matt Simms wasn’t terrible in Week 3, but the league’s worst offense didn’t do him any favors with a seemingly never-ending supply of back-breaking drops. It remains to be seen whether the Legends will even pretend to have a run game moving forward: They boast a league-high 65% pass-play rate after three weeks. No other offense is higher than even 56%.
  • Denard Robinson was surprisingly one of just six running backs that played at least 50% of their offense’s Week 3 snaps just a week after being a healthy scratch. Shoeless could see reduced snaps due to his general ineffectiveness and brutal end-zone drop, but none of Lawrence Pittman, Akrum Wadley nor Tarean Folston (inactive Week 3) have done much to warrant additional touches.
  • Seantavius Jones joins the fab-five AAF receivers with a target market share of at least 20.2% as well as the fantastic-four players that have at least 300 air yards. No. 2 receiver Malachi Jones boasts a 12.8% target share this season and played 53% of the offense’s snaps last week. Seantavius has easily shown the most big-play ability in this offense and helped convert the league’s first successful “onside kick”.

Arizona’s 23-15 Loss Against Salt Lake

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