Colts vs. Bills Playoff Odds: Opening Spread, Total & Wild Card Projections

Colts vs. Bills Playoff Odds: Opening Spread, Total & Wild Card Projections article feature image
Credit:

Hannah Foslien/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen

Colts vs. Bills Odds

(7) Colts Odds
+6.5
(2) Bills Odds
-6.5
Total
52
Time
1:05 p.m. ET
Day
CBS
Odds as of Sunday night and via PointsBet, where you can bet $20 on any NFL spread or moneyline to win $125 if the team you pick scores.

Colts vs. Bills Playoff Projections

The experts who power our NFL PRO Projections use their consensus team ratings to project a spread.

  • Spread: Bills -3.3

Sean Koerner — one of those five experts — also outlines his individual projections:

  • Spread: Bills -3
  • Total: 51.5

Colts vs. Bills Player Ratings

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, uses his player projections to calculate the most valuable players on each team based on their worth to the spread.

Most Valuable Players
Worth
QB Philip Rivers
3.1
DE DeForest Buckner
0.56
WR T.Y. Hilton
0.45
OG Quenton Nelson
0.42
CB Xavier Rhodes
0.34

Most Valuable Players
Worth
QB Josh Allen
4.64
WR Stefon Diggs
1.03
WR Cole Beasley
0.43
CB Tre’Davious White
0.41
FS Micah Hyde
0.35

How Colts Reached Wild Card Weekend

Philip Rivers was the big free-agent addition to replace Jacoby Brissett a year after Andrew Luck’s surprise retirement. With 11 wins, the move paid off even with Rivers having his typical Rivers moments. He’s thrown for more than 4,000 yards with 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.

The Colts did well to not suffer any back-to-back losses and have notable wins over the Titans and Packers.

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How Bills Reached Wild Card Weekend

What a leap the Bills’ offense has taken in 2020.

This is no defense-first team anymore. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll unleashed Josh Allen and an offense that is near the top in most major categories. The result was an AFC East championship and real belief in a postseason run.

Allen — always knocked for his accuracy — saw an 11% improvement in completion percentage this season that took him up to 69%. He threw for more than 1,200 more yards than in 2019, and his interception rate dropped.

The Bills improved from 24th in yards per game to fourth heading into Week 17. With 29.7 points per game, the offense jumped from No. 23 last year to sixth heading into the season finale.

Stefon Diggs has been the perfect match with Allen. In his first year with Buffalo, the former Vikings receiver led the NFL in receiving yards.

All of that adds up to a home playoff game and a sterling 11-5 record against the spread.

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