Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy football matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high-leverage situation — especially in the playoffs.
So what're your chances of a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight's matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 30 points from Michael Thomas? He has a 8.2% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I'll touch on:
- Saints: Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Latavius Murray, Michael Thomas, Jared Cook
- Colts: Jacoby Brissett, Marlon Mack, Nyheim Hines, T.Y. Hilton, Zach Pascal, Jack Doyle
Now let's dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)
Note: The following is based on the assumption T.Y. Hilton plays.
Drew Brees, QB, Saints
Jacoby Brissett, QB, Colts
Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints
Latavius Murray, RB, Saints
Marlon Mack, RB, Colts
Nyheim Hines, RB, Colts
Michael Thomas, WR, Saints
T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts
Zach Pascal, WR, Colts
Jared Cook, TE, Saints
Jack Doyle, TE, Colts
About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons
Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.
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