Dallas Cowboys Futures Odds, Pick: Now Is the Time Bet on America’s Team
Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett talks to team owner Jerry Jones
- Despite a 6-7 record, the Dallas Cowboys are leading the NFC East heading into Week 15.
- Using The Action Network's simulations, we explain why now is the perfect time to bet on the Cowboys, as well as which specific bet to make.
Public perception is important when it comes to sports betting. Casual bettors often overreact to recent results, especially if the mainstream sports media is off and running with generalized narratives.
For example, the Dallas Cowboys are 6-7 yet hold the lead in the NFC East due to a tiebreaker over the 6-7 Philadelphia Eagles. Considering Dallas already has a win over Philly, the divisional crown will likely come down to the Week 16 game between the two teams in Philadelphia.
However, the talking heads can't stop dumping on Dallas, with many in the media pushing for playoff reseeding that would prevent teams with subpar records, like the Cowboys, from being awarded home playoff games against teams with better regular season records.
Odds as of Tuesday at 9:30 a.m. ET and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
This is having a measurable effect in the betting market. At the time of writing just 9% (!) of spread bets have taken the Cowboys for Sunday's game against the Rams.
While it's still very early in the week, the lowest amount of Cowboys betting support ever tracked by our Bet Labs software came back on Oct. 11, 2015, when Jerry's team closed with 18% of the bets against the Patriots.
America appears to be turning on its team, presenting the opportunity for contrarian betting value. And according to The Action Network's updated NFL simulations, one Cowboys future bet is offering oodles of value.
NFL Futures Odds: Dallas Cowboys Best Bet
Despite losing three straight and four of its last five games, Dallas is still in the driver's seat to win the NFC East.
Our simulations give the Cowboys a 63.4% chance of winning the division, which converts to odds of -173.
But as mentioned above, the perception of this team has kept NFC East divisional odds closer between Dallas and Philly.
At DraftKings Sportsbook, the Cowboys are -118 to take the division title compared to the Eagles' -106.
Odds of -118 convert to an implied probability of 54.13%, revealing a nice edge to buy low on Dallas to win the NFC East right now.
[In New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana or West Virginia? Bet now at DraftKings]
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