Giants vs. Eagles Betting Picks: How to Bet This MNF Spread, Eli Manning’s Props
USA Today Sports. Pictured: Eli Manning, Carson Wentz
- Our experts reveal how they're betting Monday Night Football between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles.
- Find their picks below, complete with one on the spread as well as two Eli Manning prop bets in honor of his return.
Giants at Eagles Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds
- Odds: Eagles -9
- Over/Under: 46
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
Odds as of Monday afternoon and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Eli Manning is back under center for the New York Giants, and while a slight majority of spread tickets (55%) are backing him, the majority of money is coming in on the Philadelphia Eagles (64%) as of Monday afternoon.
So where is the best betting value on this Monday Night Football showdown?
Our experts reveal how they’re betting the primetime matchup, featuring four picks, including Sean Koerner’s and Matthew Freedman’s favorite Manning props.
John Ewing: Giants +9
The Giants are replacing a rookie quarterback with a two-time Super Bowl champion and the oddsmakers don’t care. The G-Men are 10-point underdogs against the Eagles on Monday Night Football.
Casual bettors will likely shy away from Manning and Co., but history tells us bad teams are often undervalued.
A $100 bettor following this strategy would have returned a profit of $1,868 since 2003. It is not just history that points to value on the Giants.
Our simulations have the Eagles winning by 6.6 points on average and Sean Koerner’s power ratings make Philly a 8.5-point favorite.
I like the Giants at the key number of 10 but would back Eli, in potentially his last start, down to +9.
Ewing is 319-293-16 (52.1%) overall betting on the NFL. You can follow him in our free app.
Matthew Freedman: Eli Manning Under 1.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
In his two games this season, Eli has averaged 4.0 yards per game. Big deal.
He’s not a runner. He’s a statue.
Since 2016 — the beginning of the “Eli looks done” era — he’s averaged 0.9 yards per game and rushed for more than 1.5 yards in just 26% of his starts (including playoffs). He’s almost as likely to have negative rushing yards as he is to have positive yards. I’d bet this to -135.
Freedman is 506-383-21 (56.9%) overall betting on the NFL. You can follow him in our free app.
Sean Koerner: Manning Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130)
We can derive from their team total of 17.5 points that the Giants are projected for about 1.75 touchdowns.
Can we assume those will all come via the pass? No, we cannot.
Rushing touchdowns, along with defensive/special teams touchdowns, obviously will no go toward this prop. So factoring in my model’s estimations for the projected breakdown of touchdowns, my model has arrived at 1.29 passing touchdowns for Manning.
Here are my exact odds for how many touchdowns Eli will throw:
I would bet this down to -150.
Koerner: Saquon Barkley Under 66.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Barkley has had a disappointing sophomore season that seemed to derail after the ankle injury he suffered Week 3.
He’s likely to struggle on the ground against the Eagles’ pass funnel defense, so I’d expect the Giants to draw up more screen passes to him as an extension of the running game in an attempt to avoid Philly’s stout defensive front.
As 9.5-point underdogs, it’s unlikely that Barkley will be assisted by a game flow that allows for an increase in running game volume to overcome this number. I would bet this down to 61.
Koerner is 146-103-2 (58.6%) overall betting on the NFL. You can follow him in our free app.