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Jaguars-Texans Betting Preview: Will Blake Bortles & Co. Play Spoiler in Houston?

Dec 30, 2018 8:00 AM EST
Credit:

Douglas DeFelice, USA Today Sports.

Betting odds: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

  • Spread: Texans -6.5
  • Over/Under: 40
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: After opening as 9-point favorites on Sunday night, the Texans had fallen to -7 by Christmas.

Though there was some buyback to move the line to -7.5 on Wednesday morning, the line moved through the key number of seven to -6.5 by Wednesday afternoon.

Our money percentages show that the Jaguars, who are getting fewer than 40% of bets, are getting just about half the cash at the time of writing (see live betting data here). — Mark Gallant

Did you know? Blake Bortles has made three trips to Houston to face the Texans in his career, and things haven’t gone great. Bortles has a 54.5 passer rating and is averaging just five yards per attempt in H-Town. — Evan Abrams

Playoff picture: The Texans have a shot to be the 1-seed, 2-seed and 6-seed. But it’s most likely they’ll be the AFC’s No. 3 after suffering a costly loss in Week 16.

Our simulations give Houston a 53.5% chance to be the 3-seed, which would only require a win vs. the Jaguars.

If the Texans lose, they’d move down to the 6-seed and the winner of Colts-Titans would win the AFC South and take over the 3-seed.

Houston could still lose to the Jags and win the AFC South if the Colts and Titans tie on Sunday Night Football, but that’s very unlikely. Scott T. Miller